2026 Season · Week 1
Week 1 OnVarsity
Open any matchup to compare the independent OnVarsity Line with the market, inspect possible Explanatory Factors, and make your own pick.
91games91market lines62with Factors38within a field goal3.8avg gap (pts)
Final · Sep 6Suggested side did not cover#1 matchup
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Neutral site · Nashville, TN · Nissan Stadium — Liberty Mutual Music City Kickoff
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#2 matchup
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Boise State at Oregon · Eugene, OR · Autzen Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#3 matchup
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Clemson at LSU · Baton Rouge, LA · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Final · Sep 7Suggested side pushed#4 matchup
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SMU at Florida State · Tallahassee, FL · Doak Campbell Stadium
Final · Sep 6Suggested side did not cover#5 matchup
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Neutral site · Greenbay, WI · Lambeau Field
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#6 matchup
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Neutral site · Atlanta, GA · Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Aflac Kickoff
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#7 matchup
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UCLA at California · Berkeley, CA · California Memorial Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side did not cover#8 matchup
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Colorado at Georgia Tech · Atlanta, GA · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Final · Sep 4Suggested side did not cover#9 matchup
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Fresno State at USC · Los Angeles, CA · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#10 matchup
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Texas State at Texas · Austin, TX · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Final · Sep 6Suggested side covered#11 matchup
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Washington State at Washington · Seattle, WA · Husky Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#12 matchup
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Tulane at Duke · Durham, NC · Wallace Wade Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#13 matchup
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Boston College at Cincinnati · Cincinnati, OH · Nippert Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#14 matchup
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Oregon State at Houston · Houston, TX · TDECU Stadium
Final · Sep 4Suggested side did not cover#15 matchup
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Miami at Stanford · Stanford, CA · Stanford Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#16 matchup
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North Texas at Indiana · Bloomington, IN · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#17 matchup
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East Carolina at Alabama · Tuscaloosa, AL · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#18 matchup
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Western Michigan at Michigan · Ann Arbor, MI · Michigan Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#19 matchup
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Oklahoma State at Tulsa · Tulsa, OK · Chapman Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#20 matchup
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Florida Atlantic at Florida · Gainesville, FL · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Final · Sep 4Suggested side pushed#21 matchup
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Toledo at Michigan State · East Lansing, MI · Spartan Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#22 matchup
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Liberty at James Madison · Harrisonburg, VA · Bridgeforth Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#24 matchup
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South Dakota State at Northwestern · Evanston, IL · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#25 matchup
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Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh, PA · Acrisure Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#26 matchup
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UNLV at Hawai'i · Honolulu, HI · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#27 matchup
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Idaho State at Utah State · Logan, UT · Maverik Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#28 matchup
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Arkansas State at Memphis · Memphis, TN · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#29 matchup
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Wyoming at Colorado State · Fort Collins, CO · Canvas Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#30 matchup
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SE Louisiana at South Alabama · Mobile, AL · Hancock Whitney Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#31 matchup
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Abilene ChristianFCS
OV Win<0.01%10Spread:TTU -44.5vs.TTU -44.5
1 FactorAbilene Christian at Texas Tech · Lubbock, TX · Jones AT&T Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#32 matchup
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Ohio at Nebraska · Lincoln, NE · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#33 matchup
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Youngstown State at Kentucky · Lexington, KY · Kroger Field
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#34 matchup
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Western Kentucky at Nevada · Reno, NV · Mackay Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#35 matchup
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Austin Peay at Vanderbilt · Nashville, TN · FirstBank Stadium
Final · Sep 5#36 matchup
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Spread:USF -14.5vs.USF -14.5
Florida International at South Florida · Tampa, FL · Raymond James Stadium
Final · Sep 5#38 matchup
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Spread:WVU -21.5vs.WVU -21
2 FactorsCoastal Carolina at West Virginia · Morgantown, WV · Milan Puskar Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#39 matchup
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Central Michigan at New Mexico · Albuquerque, NM · University Stadium (NM)
Final · Sep 3Suggested side did not cover#40 matchup
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UAB at Illinois · Champaign, IL · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Final · Sep 4Suggested side did not cover#41 matchup
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San José State at Eastern Michigan · Ypsilanti, MI · Rynearson Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#42 matchup
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Northern Arizona at Arizona · Tucson, AZ · Arizona Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side did not cover#43 matchup
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West Georgia at Kennesaw State · Kennesaw, GA · Fifth Third Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#44 matchup
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Rhode Island at Temple · Philadelphia, PA · Lincoln Financial Field
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#45 matchup
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Tarleton State at Bowling Green · Bowling Green, OH · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side covered#46 matchup
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Idaho at Utah · Salt Lake City, UT · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#47 matchup
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Northern Illinois at Iowa · Iowa City, IA · Kinnick Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#48 matchup
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Spread:TA&M -41vs.TA&M -39
1 FactorMissouri State at Texas A&M · College Station, TX · Kyle Field
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#49 matchup
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Lamar at Louisiana · Lafayette, LA · Cajun Field
Final · Sep 4Suggested side did not cover#50 matchup
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UTEP at Oklahoma · Norman, OK · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Final · Sep 3Suggested side covered#51 matchup
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Akron at Wake Forest · Winston-Salem, NC · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#52 matchup
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Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville State · Jacksonville, AL · AmFirst Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#53 matchup
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Spread:MSST -27vs.MSST -28.5
1 FactorUL Monroe at Mississippi State · Starkville, MS · Davis Wade Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#54 matchup
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New Hampshire at Syracuse · Syracuse, NY · JMA Wireless Dome
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#55 matchup
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Ball State at Ohio State · Columbus, OH · Ohio Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#56 matchup
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Sam Houston at Troy · Troy, AL · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#57 matchup
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Lafayette at UConn · East Hartford, CT · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#58 matchup
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Spread:SC -35vs.SC -35.5
1 FactorKent State at South Carolina · Columbia, SC · Williams-Brice Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#59 matchup
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Nicholls at Kansas State · Manhattan, KS · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#60 matchup
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Towson at Navy · Annapolis, MD · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side covered#61 matchup
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Massachusetts at Rutgers · Piscataway, NJ · SHI Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#62 matchup
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Maine at App State · Boone, NC · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#63 matchup
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Duquesne at Air Force · Colorado Springs, CO · Falcon Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#64 matchup
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Charleston SouthernFCS
OV Win4%0Spread:GASO -24vs.GASO -28.5
1 FactorCharleston Southern at Georgia Southern · Statesboro, GA · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#65 matchup
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Utah Tech at BYU · Provo, UT · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#66 matchup
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Southeast Missouri StateFCS
OV Win<0.01%10Spread:ISU -36.5vs.ISU -30.5
1 FactorSoutheast Missouri State at Iowa State · Ames, IA · Jack Trice Stadium
Final · Sep 4Suggested side covered#67 matchup
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Indiana State at Purdue · West Lafayette, IN · Ross-Ade Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#68 matchup
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The Citadel at Charlotte · Charlotte, NC · Jerry Richardson Stadium
Final · Sep 4Suggested side did not cover#69 matchup
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Long Island University at Kansas · Lawrence, KS · Memorial Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#70 matchup
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Furman at Tennessee · Knoxville, TN · Neyland Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#72 matchup
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Murray State at Middle Tennessee · Murfreesboro, TN · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#73 matchup
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Mercyhurst at New Mexico State · Las Cruces, NM · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side did not cover#74 matchup
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Merrimack at Delaware · Newark, DE · Delaware Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side covered#75 matchup
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Eastern Illinois at Minnesota · Minneapolis, MN · Huntington Bank Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side did not cover#76 matchup
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Bethune-Cookman at UCF · Orlando, FL · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#77 matchup
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Portland StateFCS
OV Win<0.01%20Spread:SDSU -40.5vs.SDSU -38.5
1 FactorPortland State at San Diego State · San Diego, CA · Snapdragon Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#78 matchup
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Bryant at Army · West Point, NY · Michie Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#79 matchup
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Houston Christian at Rice · Houston, TX · Rice Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side did not cover#80 matchup
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UAlbany at Buffalo · Amherst, NY · UB Stadium
Final · Sep 5#81 matchup
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Alcorn State at Southern Miss · Hattiesburg, MS · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#82 matchup
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Morgan State at Arizona State · Tempe, AZ · Mountain America Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#83 matchup
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Fordham at North Dakota State · Fargo, ND · Fargodome
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#84 matchup
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Tennessee State at Georgia · Athens, GA · Sanford Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#85 matchup
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Norfolk StateFCS
OV Win<0.01%10Spread:ODU -41.5vs.ODU -41.5
1 FactorNorfolk State at Old Dominion · Norfolk, VA · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Final · Sep 3Suggested side covered#86 matchup
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Arkansas-Pine BluffFCS
OV Win<0.01%14Spread:MIZ -54.5vs.MIZ -55.5
1 FactorArkansas-Pine Bluff at Missouri · Columbia, MO · Memorial Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#87 matchup
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Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech · Ruston, LA · Joe Aillet Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side did not cover#88 matchup
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VMI at Virginia Tech · Blacksburg, VA · Lane Stadium
Final · Sep 4Suggested side covered#89 matchup
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North Carolina A&TFCS
OV Win2%10Spread:GAST -27.5vs.GAST -28.5
1 FactorNorth Carolina A&T at Georgia State · Atlanta, GA · Center Parc Stadium
Final · Sep 5Suggested side covered#90 matchup
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Hampton at Maryland · College Park, MD · SECU Stadium
OnVarsity Lines are matchup-specific model estimates that exclude the focal market line. How they're calculated →





































































































































