Matchup View
Oklahoma -42.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Oklahoma -4110-book consensus · observed Sep 4, 7:45 PM EDTComparable games put Oklahoma's chance of winning by at least 28 at about 77%. Historically, the market shaded about 4.2 points toward UTEP (average-estimate range 3.0–5.8), but actual results were too noisy to treat that as a dependable OV Line adjustment.
See the full studyThese conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Oklahoma is favored by 41.0 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOklahoma begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOklahoma faces materially stronger Michigan in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOklahoma is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Michigan.
Studied in 186 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyUTEP is a 41.0-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyUTEP lost the most recent meeting with Oklahoma.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyUTEP lost the most recent meeting with Oklahoma by at least 14 points.
Studied in 592 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyObserved 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Oklahoma -42.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Oklahoma -40.52-book consensus · CFBD fallbackComparable games put Oklahoma's chance of winning by at least 28 at about 77%. Historically, the market shaded about 4.2 points toward UTEP (average-estimate range 3.0–5.8), but actual results were too noisy to treat that as a dependable OV Line adjustment.
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Open until scheduled kickoffStraight-up winner
Market consensus · Oklahoma -41
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Sep 4.
