2026 Season · Current Model

ONVARSITY RATINGS

Every OV Rating begins with the preseason win-total market and full schedule, then updates as games are completed. Market lines for unplayed games never enter the rating.

Home Field Adv.2.56ptsCurrent model

Margin σ12.74ptsCurrent model

Teams Rated138FBS 2026

Games Modeled888regular season

Win-total departure0.54winsavg |current projection − preseason total|

Ratings My Ratings

All Teams

Click a team for its full outlook.

Each view uses the current OV method and only information available through that point in the season.

Rk	Team	Conf	Rating▾	Off	Def	Record	SOS Rk	CFP%
1	Ohio State	Big Ten	+28.8	+14.4 (2nd)	+14.4 (2nd)	1–1	22	49.7%
2	Indiana	Big Ten	+28.4	+14.0 (3rd)	+14.4 (1st)	2–0	38	77.8%
3	Texas	SEC	+27.8	+13.7 (4th)	+14.0 (3rd)	2–0	2	78.6%
4	Oregon	Big Ten	+27.7	+14.6 (1st)	+13.1 (6th)	1–1	13	49.1%
5	Notre Dame	FBS Independents	+26.4	+13.7 (5th)	+12.7 (8th)	2–0	66	93.2%
6	Georgia	SEC	+25.7	+13.4 (6th)	+12.3 (9th)	2–0	19	69.7%
7	Miami	ACC	+23.1	+10.3 (11th)	+12.9 (7th)	2–0	60	81.5%
8	Texas Tech	Big 12	+22.7	+9.2 (13th)	+13.5 (5th)	2–0	69	78.6%
9	LSU	SEC	+21.0	+8.8 (17th)	+12.2 (10th)	2–0	11	43.3%
10	Oklahoma	SEC	+20.9	+7.3 (22nd)	+13.6 (4th)	1–1	9	16.7%
11	Texas A&M	SEC	+20.1	+10.9 (8th)	+9.2 (12th)	2–0	12	31.0%
12	Alabama	SEC	+19.9	+8.8 (16th)	+11.0 (11th)	2–0	10	41.0%
13	USC	Big Ten	+18.7	+12.2 (7th)	+6.5 (25th)	3–0	21	17.0%
14	Washington	Big Ten	+18.3	+9.7 (12th)	+8.6 (13th)	2–0	18	19.6%
15	Ole Miss	SEC	+18.1	+10.7 (9th)	+7.5 (19th)	2–0	6	19.8%
16	Florida	SEC	+17.4	+9.0 (15th)	+8.4 (15th)	2–0	5	18.7%
17	Tennessee	SEC	+17.1	+10.5 (10th)	+6.7 (24th)	2–0	17	26.0%
18	Penn State	Big Ten	+16.3	+7.9 (19th)	+8.5 (14th)	2–0	68	33.3%
19	Michigan	Big Ten	+15.1	+8.2 (18th)	+6.9 (23rd)	2–0	20	9.8%
20	BYU	Big 12	+14.5	+7.4 (21st)	+7.1 (21st)	2–0	42	26.0%
21	Utah	Big 12	+14.2	+9.2 (14th)	+5.1 (33rd)	2–0	54	30.5%
22	Kansas State	Big 12	+12.9	+7.3 (23rd)	+5.5 (30th)	2–0	61	25.9%
23	Iowa	Big Ten	+12.8	+4.5 (35th)	+8.3 (16th)	2–0	37	9.6%
24	Missouri	SEC	+12.7	+5.0 (30th)	+7.8 (18th)	2–0	4	6.4%
25	South Carolina	SEC	+12.7	+4.9 (32nd)	+7.8 (17th)	2–0	15	6.0%
26	SMU	ACC	+12.2	+5.8 (26th)	+6.4 (26th)	2–0	63	26.6%
27	Auburn	SEC	+11.9	+5.0 (29th)	+6.9 (22nd)	2–0	14	5.0%
28	Louisville	ACC	+11.5	+4.1 (36th)	+7.4 (20th)	1–1	52	14.4%
29	Houston	Big 12	+11.0	+4.8 (33rd)	+6.2 (27th)	2–0	53	10.5%
30	Nebraska	Big Ten	+10.8	+6.4 (24th)	+4.4 (38th)	2–0	25	2.9%
31	UCLA	Big Ten	+10.7	+5.9 (25th)	+4.8 (36th)	2–0	47	10.4%
32	Arizona	Big 12	+9.5	+3.9 (41st)	+5.5 (29th)	1–1	49	2.8%
33	Mississippi State	SEC	+8.8	+4.9 (31st)	+3.8 (43rd)	2–0	8	1.5%
34	Virginia Tech	ACC	+8.7	+5.1 (28th)	+3.5 (44th)	2–0	56	8.7%
35	Pittsburgh	ACC	+8.4	+3.1 (47th)	+5.3 (31st)	2–0	58	9.6%
36	Boise State	Pac-12	+8.3	+4.0 (39th)	+4.3 (40th)	1–1	73	40.7%
37	Virginia	ACC	+8.2	+2.3 (54th)	+5.9 (28th)	2–0	65	13.6%
38	Clemson	ACC	+8.1	+3.2 (45th)	+4.9 (34th)	1–1	46	3.3%
39	TCU	Big 12	+7.7	+3.8 (42nd)	+3.9 (42nd)	1–1	36	1.5%
40	Illinois	Big Ten	+7.5	+4.7 (34th)	+2.9 (48th)	1–1	34	0.5%
41	Arizona State	Big 12	+7.1	+1.8 (56th)	+5.3 (32nd)	1–1	33	1.1%
42	Vanderbilt	SEC	+7.0	+7.6 (20th)	-0.6 (68th)	2–0	16	1.2%
43	Florida State	ACC	+6.9	+5.4 (27th)	+1.6 (56th)	1–1	29	0.6%
44	Kentucky	SEC	+6.9	+2.4 (53rd)	+4.5 (37th)	1–1	3	0.3%
45	Wisconsin	Big Ten	+6.2	+1.3 (59th)	+4.9 (35th)	1–1	44	0.9%
46	Minnesota	Big Ten	+5.8	+2.5 (52nd)	+3.3 (46th)	1–1	24	0.1%
47	Baylor	Big 12	+5.6	+3.9 (40th)	+1.7 (54th)	1–1	43	0.9%
48	Northwestern	Big Ten	+5.5	+3.7 (44th)	+1.8 (52nd)	1–0	23	0.6%
49	Oklahoma State	Big 12	+4.8	+0.5 (65th)	+4.3 (39th)	1–1	32	0.6%
50	Kansas	Big 12	+4.8	+4.0 (38th)	+0.8 (59th)	1–1	48	0.6%
51	NC State	ACC	+3.9	+4.1 (37th)	-0.1 (63rd)	1–1	67	2.0%
52	Duke	ACC	+3.8	+3.7 (43rd)	+0.1 (62nd)	2–0	59	3.5%
53	West Virginia	Big 12	+3.7	+0.2 (70th)	+3.5 (45th)	2–0	45	1.0%
54	UCF	Big 12	+3.7	+0.8 (61st)	+2.9 (47th)	1–1	57	0.7%
55	Maryland	Big Ten	+3.5	+0.7 (62nd)	+2.8 (50th)	2–0	30	0.6%
56	Wake Forest	ACC	+3.4	-0.6 (75th)	+3.9 (41st)	2–0	62	1.5%
57	Arkansas	SEC	+2.9	+3.0 (48th)	-0.2 (64th)	1–1	1	<0.01%
58	Georgia Tech	ACC	+2.8	+3.1 (46th)	-0.3 (65th)	0–2	39	0.3%
59	Cincinnati	Big 12	+2.0	+2.9 (50th)	-0.9 (70th)	2–0	40	0.3%
60	Iowa State	Big 12	+1.9	+0.2 (68th)	+1.7 (55th)	1–1	51	0.3%
61	North Carolina	ACC	+1.6	-0.9 (77th)	+2.5 (51st)	2–0	31	0.6%
62	California	ACC	+1.6	+0.8 (60th)	+0.7 (60th)	1–1	55	0.6%
63	San Diego State	Pac-12	+1.3	-1.5 (81st)	+2.8 (49th)	1–1	75	6.0%
64	UTSA	American Athletic	+1.2	+1.5 (58th)	-0.3 (66th)	2–0	77	19.0%
65	Michigan State	Big Ten	+0.9	+0.1 (71st)	+0.8 (58th)	2–0	26	<0.01%
66	Syracuse	ACC	+0.9	+0.6 (64th)	+0.3 (61st)	1–1	50	0.1%
67	Colorado	Big 12	+0.3	-0.8 (76th)	+1.1 (57th)	2–0	27	0.3%
68	Fresno State	Pac-12	-0.4	-2.2 (86th)	+1.7 (53rd)	1–1	78	3.5%
69	Texas State	Pac-12	-0.4	+2.7 (51st)	-3.1 (89th)	0–2	71	1.2%
70	Navy	American Athletic	-0.7	+2.0 (55th)	-2.7 (86th)	1–1	81	2.9%
71	Memphis	American Athletic	-0.9	-0.0 (72nd)	-0.9 (71st)	2–1	86	5.2%
72	Washington State	Pac-12	-1.3	-0.4 (74th)	-1.0 (72nd)	0–2	64	0.5%
73	South Florida	American Athletic	-1.5	-0.1 (73rd)	-1.4 (74th)	2–0	105	9.7%
74	Purdue	Big Ten	-1.6	+0.3 (67th)	-1.9 (79th)	1–1	7	<0.01%
75	New Mexico	Mountain West	-1.6	-1.2 (80th)	-0.4 (67th)	2–0	100	3.4%
76	Army	American Athletic	-1.7	+0.6 (63rd)	-2.3 (83rd)	1–1	89	2.7%
77	North Dakota State	Mountain West	-2.0	-1.0 (78th)	-1.0 (73rd)	3–0	127	2.7%
78	James Madison	Sun Belt	-2.6	-2.0 (85th)	-0.6 (69th)	2–0	116	3.6%
79	Rutgers	Big Ten	-3.0	+1.7 (57th)	-4.7 (99th)	0–2	41	<0.01%
80	Utah State	Pac-12	-3.2	+0.2 (69th)	-3.4 (92nd)	0–2	70	0.1%
81	Tulane	American Athletic	-3.5	-1.6 (82nd)	-1.9 (80th)	1–1	84	1.8%
82	Boston College	ACC	-3.7	-1.1 (79th)	-2.6 (85th)	1–1	28	<0.01%
83	UNLV	Mountain West	-3.9	+0.4 (66th)	-4.4 (94th)	1–2	102	0.3%
84	Oregon State	Pac-12	-4.6	-2.8 (87th)	-1.8 (78th)	0–2	72	0.4%
85	Stanford	ACC	-5.6	-4.0 (97th)	-1.6 (77th)	1–1	35	<0.01%
86	Old Dominion	Sun Belt	-6.1	-4.6 (104th)	-1.5 (75th)	1–1	108	0.4%
87	Air Force	Mountain West	-6.2	+2.9 (49th)	-9.1 (126th)	1–1	103	0.4%
88	North Texas	American Athletic	-6.2	-1.6 (83rd)	-4.6 (96th)	1–1	80	0.7%
89	East Carolina	American Athletic	-6.2	-4.8 (105th)	-1.5 (76th)	0–2	91	0.2%
90	Colorado State	Pac-12	-6.4	-3.1 (90th)	-3.3 (91st)	2–0	74	0.9%
91	Western Michigan	Mid-American	-6.6	-4.6 (103rd)	-2.0 (81st)	1–1	121	0.8%
92	Tulsa	American Athletic	-7.0	-4.2 (99th)	-2.8 (88th)	2–0	92	1.0%
93	Florida Atlantic	American Athletic	-7.2	-1.9 (84th)	-5.2 (101st)	1–1	83	0.9%
94	Toledo	Mid-American	-7.3	-4.0 (98th)	-3.3 (90th)	1–1	133	0.3%
95	Liberty	Conference USA	-7.5	-2.9 (88th)	-4.6 (98th)	1–1	138	0.2%
96	Troy	Sun Belt	-8.6	-6.1 (111th)	-2.5 (84th)	2–0	109	0.4%
97	Louisiana	Sun Belt	-8.7	-3.4 (95th)	-5.3 (102nd)	1–1	128	0.3%
98	Marshall	Sun Belt	-9.0	-3.3 (94th)	-5.8 (108th)	1–1	117	0.2%
99	Georgia Southern	Sun Belt	-9.6	-3.1 (91st)	-6.5 (115th)	1–1	90	0.1%
100	Temple	American Athletic	-9.7	-3.0 (89th)	-6.7 (117th)	1–1	85	0.2%
101	Louisiana Tech	Sun Belt	-9.9	-6.4 (113th)	-3.5 (93rd)	1–1	87	0.1%
102	App State	Sun Belt	-10.0	-5.5 (108th)	-4.5 (95th)	2–0	120	0.3%
103	Miami (OH)	Mid-American	-10.1	-7.4 (118th)	-2.7 (87th)	1–1	131	<0.01%
104	Jacksonville State	Conference USA	-10.3	-4.6 (102nd)	-5.7 (107th)	1–2	136	<0.01%
105	Hawai'i	Mountain West	-10.4	-4.5 (100th)	-5.9 (110th)	1–2	113	<0.01%
106	South Alabama	Sun Belt	-10.4	-3.1 (92nd)	-7.3 (121st)	1–1	110	0.1%
107	Arkansas State	Sun Belt	-10.6	-5.9 (109th)	-4.8 (100th)	1–1	119	0.1%
108	Delaware	Conference USA	-10.7	-3.2 (93rd)	-7.5 (122nd)	1–1	115	0.1%
109	Wyoming	Mountain West	-10.8	-8.6 (123rd)	-2.2 (82nd)	1–1	112	<0.01%
110	Ohio	Mid-American	-11.5	-4.9 (107th)	-6.6 (116th)	1–1	132	<0.01%
111	UConn	FBS Independents	-11.6	-4.5 (101st)	-7.1 (120th)	1–1	98	<0.01%
112	Nevada	Mountain West	-11.9	-7.3 (116th)	-4.6 (97th)	1–1	104	<0.01%
113	Western Kentucky	Conference USA	-12.2	-6.1 (110th)	-6.1 (112th)	0–2	95	<0.01%
114	Florida International	Conference USA	-12.6	-6.5 (114th)	-6.1 (111th)	1–1	134	<0.01%
115	Coastal Carolina	Sun Belt	-13.0	-7.7 (119th)	-5.3 (103rd)	1–1	101	<0.01%
116	San José State	Mountain West	-13.1	-6.3 (112th)	-6.8 (118th)	2–1	94	<0.01%
117	Central Michigan	Mid-American	-13.2	-7.7 (120th)	-5.5 (104th)	1–1	118	<0.01%
118	Kennesaw State	Conference USA	-13.7	-7.4 (117th)	-6.3 (113th)	1–1	126	<0.01%
119	UAB	American Athletic	-14.6	-3.6 (96th)	-10.9 (137th)	1–1	88	<0.01%
120	Rice	American Athletic	-14.8	-7.8 (121st)	-7.0 (119th)	1–1	76	<0.01%
121	Eastern Michigan	Mid-American	-14.9	-4.8 (106th)	-10.1 (134th)	1–2	130	<0.01%
122	New Mexico State	Conference USA	-17.1	-11.5 (132nd)	-5.6 (105th)	1–2	123	<0.01%
123	Georgia State	Sun Belt	-17.2	-7.0 (115th)	-10.2 (136th)	2–0	106	<0.01%
124	Bowling Green	Mid-American	-17.4	-11.5 (133rd)	-5.8 (109th)	0–2	124	<0.01%
125	Northern Illinois	Mountain West	-17.8	-9.8 (127th)	-8.0 (123rd)	0–2	93	<0.01%
126	Southern Miss	Sun Belt	-17.8	-8.1 (122nd)	-9.7 (129th)	1–1	96	<0.01%
127	Buffalo	Mid-American	-18.0	-11.6 (134th)	-6.4 (114th)	1–1	129	<0.01%
128	Missouri State	Conference USA	-18.4	-8.6 (124th)	-9.7 (130th)	1–1	99	<0.01%
129	Middle Tennessee	Conference USA	-18.7	-8.9 (125th)	-9.9 (132nd)	1–1	125	<0.01%
130	UTEP	Mountain West	-18.8	-13.1 (137th)	-5.7 (106th)	1–1	79	<0.01%
131	Akron	Mid-American	-19.0	-9.9 (128th)	-9.1 (125th)	1–1	122	<0.01%
132	Sacramento State	Mid-American	-19.5	-9.8 (126th)	-9.8 (131st)	1–2	135	<0.01%
133	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	-20.1	-10.7 (129th)	-9.4 (127th)	0–2	107	<0.01%
134	Ball State	Mid-American	-21.1	-13.0 (136th)	-8.1 (124th)	1–1	114	<0.01%
135	Sam Houston	Conference USA	-21.5	-11.4 (131st)	-10.1 (135th)	0–2	111	<0.01%
136	Kent State	Mid-American	-22.3	-11.3 (130th)	-11.0 (138th)	1–1	97	<0.01%
137	Charlotte	American Athletic	-22.3	-12.4 (135th)	-9.9 (133rd)	0–2	82	<0.01%
138	Massachusetts	Mid-American	-25.0	-15.4 (138th)	-9.7 (128th)	2–0	137	<0.01%
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