Tarleton State at Bowling Green

Week 1 · Sep 5Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineTarleton State -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusBowling Green -210-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 11:45 AM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~4.5 pts toward Bowling GreenExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Tarleton State 20 · Bowling Green 13
Pregame OV Line
Tarleton State -2.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Bowling Green -2
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Tarleton State by 7

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Tarleton State 58.0%Bowling Green 42.0%

Compare Teams

Tarleton StateVSBowling Green

Model View

Overall Rating—-18.1 · #127
Offense Rating—-11.9
Defense Rating—-6.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.03
Offense Success Rate—35.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed—40.5%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—5.0
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—124th