Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville State

Week 1 · Sep 5AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineJacksonville State -19.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusJacksonville State -22.58-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 6:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward Jacksonville StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Eastern Kentucky 7 · Jacksonville State 49
Pregame OV Line
Jacksonville State -19.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Jacksonville State -22.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Jacksonville State by 42

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Eastern Kentucky 8.2%Jacksonville State 91.8%

Compare Teams

Eastern KentuckyVSJacksonville State

Model View

Overall Rating—-10.4 · #101
Offense Rating—-4.6
Defense Rating—-5.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.19
Offense Success Rate—43.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed—42.0%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—7.3
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—134th