Mercyhurst at New Mexico State
Week 1 · Sep 5Aggie Memorial Stadium · Las Cruces, NM
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
New Mexico State -18.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
New Mexico State -18.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusNew Mexico State -29.58-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 8:45 PM EDT
New Mexico State -29.58-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 8:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~11 pts toward New Mexico StateExplore similar gapsCompleted gameWhat happened?Mercyhurst 14 · New Mexico State 51
- Pregame OV Line
- New Mexico State -18.5
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- New Mexico State -29.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- New Mexico State by 37
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineNew Mexico State -18.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
New Mexico State -18.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusNew Mexico State -26.52-book consensus · CFBD fallback
New Mexico State -26.52-book consensus · CFBD fallbackWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Mercyhurst 9.3%New Mexico State 90.7%