Look-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Eastern Michigan faces materially stronger Michigan State in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studySan José State at Eastern Michigan
Week 1 · Sep 4Rynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MI
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Eastern Michigan -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Eastern Michigan -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusEastern Michigan -4.52-book consensus · updated Aug 26
Eastern Michigan -4.52-book consensus · updated Aug 26Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Completed gameWhat happened?San José State 27 · Eastern Michigan 21
- Pregame OV Line
- Eastern Michigan -4.5
- Final recorded market
- Eastern Michigan -4.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- San José State by 6
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineEastern Michigan -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Eastern Michigan -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusEastern Michigan -3.5Based on 2 books
Eastern Michigan -3.5Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
San José State 38.2%Eastern Michigan 61.8%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Eastern Michigan -4.5
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