Bryant at Army

Week 1 · Sep 5Michie Stadium · West Point, NY
BryantFCS
@
Army5–3-2.6 vs. avg · #79

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineArmy -38.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusArmy -3710-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 11:45 AM EDT
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineArmy -38.5Factor Adjustments~1 pt toward ArmyOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineArmy -39.5Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward BryantExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineArmy -38.5Factor adjustment (Open)~0.5 pts toward BryantOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Army -38Opening Market ConsensusArmy -37Unexplained at open~1.5 pts toward BryantSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)~1.5 pts toward ArmyOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Army -39.5Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusArmy -37Unexplained gap~2.5 pts toward BryantExplore similar gaps Lopsided game-flow uncertainty~1 pt toward ArmyAt open ~0.5 pts toward BryantIn-week ~1.5 pts toward Army

Lopsided game-flow uncertainty

~1 pt toward ArmyAt open ~0.5 pts toward BryantIn-week ~1.5 pts toward Army
Estimate is uncertain

Comparable games put Army's chance of winning by at least 28 at about 81%. Historically, the market shaded about 1.2 points toward Army (average-estimate range 0.3–2.3), but actual results were too noisy to treat that as a dependable OV Line adjustment.

See the full study
Completed gameWhat happened?Bryant 3 · Army 59
Pregame OV Line
Army -38.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Army -37
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
Army -39.5
Actual margin
Army by 56

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Bryant 0.2%Army 99.8%

Compare Teams

BryantVSArmy

Model View

Overall Rating—-2.6 · #79
Offense Rating—+0.2
Defense Rating—-2.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.19
Offense Success Rate—42.2%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.18
Defense Success Rate Allowed—44.8%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—7.7
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—90th