Murray State at Middle Tennessee
Week 1 · Sep 5Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Middle Tennessee -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Middle Tennessee -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusMiddle Tennessee -20.51-book consensus · updated Aug 26
Middle Tennessee -20.51-book consensus · updated Aug 26Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Middle TennesseeExplore similar gapsCompleted gameWhat happened?Murray State 14 · Middle Tennessee 38
- Pregame OV Line
- Middle Tennessee -20
- Final recorded market
- Middle Tennessee -20.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Middle Tennessee by 24
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineMiddle Tennessee -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Middle Tennessee -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusMiddle Tennessee -21Based on 2 books
Middle Tennessee -21Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Murray State 7.5%Middle Tennessee 92.5%