Murray State at Middle Tennessee
Week 1 · Sep 5Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Middle Tennessee -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Middle Tennessee -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusMiddle Tennessee -22.59-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 6:45 PM EDT
Middle Tennessee -22.59-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 6:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward Middle TennesseeExplore similar gapsCompleted gameWhat happened?Murray State 14 · Middle Tennessee 38
- Pregame OV Line
- Middle Tennessee -20
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Middle Tennessee -22.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Middle Tennessee by 24
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineMiddle Tennessee -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Middle Tennessee -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusMiddle Tennessee -212-book consensus · CFBD fallback
Middle Tennessee -212-book consensus · CFBD fallbackWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Murray State 7.5%Middle Tennessee 92.5%