Idaho State at Utah State

Week 1 · Sep 5Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineUtah State -20.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusUtah State -12.51-book consensus · updated Aug 26
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~8 pts toward Idaho StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Idaho State 29 · Utah State 17
Pregame OV Line
Utah State -20.5
Final recorded market
Utah State -12.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Idaho State by 12

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Idaho State 7.1%Utah State 92.9%

Compare Teams

Idaho StateVSUtah State

Model View

Overall Rating-3.2 · #80
Offense Rating+0.2
Defense Rating-3.4

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.20
Offense Success Rate41.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.20
Defense Success Rate Allowed42.7%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.9
Playoff Odds0.1%
Strength of Schedule Rank70th