Idaho State at Utah State

Week 1 · Sep 5Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineUtah State -20.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusUtah State -15.59-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 6:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~5 pts toward Idaho StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Idaho State 29 · Utah State 17
Pregame OV Line
Utah State -20.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Utah State -15.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Idaho State by 12

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Idaho State 7.1%Utah State 92.9%

Compare Teams

Idaho StateVSUtah State

Model View

Overall Rating—-2.5 · #78
Offense Rating—+0.6
Defense Rating—-3.0

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.20
Offense Success Rate—41.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.20
Defense Success Rate Allowed—42.7%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—4.9
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—68th