Alcorn State at Southern Miss

Week 1 · Sep 5M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineSouthern Miss -19.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusSouthern Miss -19.58-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 4:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Completed gameWhat happened?Alcorn State 3 · Southern Miss 49
Pregame OV Line
Southern Miss -19.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Southern Miss -19.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Southern Miss by 46

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Alcorn State 8.1%Southern Miss 91.9%

Compare Teams

Alcorn StateVSSouthern Miss

Model View

Overall Rating—-17.7 · #124
Offense Rating—-8.0
Defense Rating—-9.7

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.16
Offense Success Rate—39.5%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.12
Defense Success Rate Allowed—41.5%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—3.7
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—97th