Alcorn State at Southern Miss

Week 1 · Sep 5M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineSouthern Miss -19.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusSouthern Miss -211-book consensus · updated Aug 26
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward Southern MissExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Alcorn State 3 · Southern Miss 49
Pregame OV Line
Southern Miss -19.5
Final recorded market
Southern Miss -21
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Southern Miss by 46

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Alcorn State 8.1%Southern Miss 91.9%

Compare Teams

Alcorn StateVSSouthern Miss

Model View

Overall Rating-17.8 · #126
Offense Rating-8.1
Defense Rating-9.7

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.16
Offense Success Rate39.5%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.12
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.5%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total3.7
Playoff Odds<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank96th