Matchup View
Vanderbilt -30.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Vanderbilt -28.58-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 6:45 PM EDTComparable games put Vanderbilt's chance of winning by at least 28 at about 68%. Historically, the market shaded about 2.2 points toward Vanderbilt (average-estimate range 1.4–3.3), but actual results were too noisy to treat that as a dependable OV Line adjustment.
See the full studyThis locked page preserves the estimate OnVarsity showed before kickoff. The study was revalidated afterward and contributes zero points to new matchups.
Jared Curtis, a true freshman, is expected to start at quarterback for Vanderbilt. After ordinary lopsided game flow is accounted for, markets in 22 comparable FBS-FCS openers averaged about 0.8 points more toward the FBS favorite, but the estimate is highly uncertain (from 3.3 points away to 4.0 points toward).
See the full studyObserved 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Vanderbilt -30.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Vanderbilt -302-book consensus · CFBD fallbackComparable games put Vanderbilt's chance of winning by at least 28 at about 68%. Historically, the market shaded about 2.2 points toward Vanderbilt (average-estimate range 1.4–3.3), but actual results were too noisy to treat that as a dependable OV Line adjustment.
See the full studyJared Curtis, a true freshman, is expected to start at quarterback for Vanderbilt. After ordinary lopsided game flow is accounted for, markets in 22 comparable FBS-FCS openers averaged about 0.8 points more toward the FBS favorite, but the estimate is highly uncertain (from 3.3 points away to 4.0 points toward).
See the full study