Matchup View
Nebraska -22.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Nebraska -2411-book consensus · observed Sep 5, 11:45 AM EDTComparable games put Nebraska's chance of winning by at least 28 at about 33%. Historically, the market shaded about 1.2 points toward Ohio (average-estimate range 0.8–2.2), but actual results were too noisy to treat that as a dependable OV Line adjustment.
See the full studyThese conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Nebraska is favored by 23.8 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOhio is a 23.8-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyJohn Hauser coached Ohio's final 1 game last season as interim before beginning his first full season as head coach. Only 3 historical cases followed that path: 67% shaded toward the returning coach, averaging 0.3 points (median 1.3)—too few for a separate estimate. The broader 38-game study originally suggested a retained-coach difference, but the 24-game market-state revalidation centered near zero. We therefore identify the transition but apply no Factor points.
Studied in 38 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyObserved 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Nebraska -22.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Nebraska -23.52-book consensus · CFBD fallbackComparable games put Nebraska's chance of winning by at least 28 at about 33%. Historically, the market shaded about 1.2 points toward Ohio (average-estimate range 0.8–2.2), but actual results were too noisy to treat that as a dependable OV Line adjustment.
See the full studyMake Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffStraight-up winner
Market consensus · Nebraska -24
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Sep 5.
