2026 Season · Week 3

Week 3 OnVarsity

Open any matchup to compare the independent OnVarsity Line with the market, inspect possible Explanatory Factors, and make your own pick.

75games75market lines9with Factors39within a field goal3.8avg gap (pts)
UpcomingTop GamesFull ScheduleMy Picks

Week 3

Sep 17–Sep 19 · 75 games
← Week 2Week 4 →
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#1 matchup
OV Win51%24
Spread:LSU -0.5vs.LSU -3
LSU at Ole Miss · Oxford, MS · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Final · Sep 18Suggested side covered#2 matchup
OV Win91%33
Spread:MIA -17vs.MIA -20
Miami at Wake Forest · Winston-Salem, NC · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Final · Sep 18Suggested side did not cover#3 matchup
Spread:TTU -14vs.TTU -7.5
Houston at Texas Tech · Lubbock, TX · Jones AT&T Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#4 matchup
Spread:TA&M -16vs.TA&M -16.5
Kentucky at Texas A&M · College Station, TX · Kyle Field
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#5 matchup
OV Win41%39
Spread:FLA -3vs.FLA -2.5
Florida at Auburn · Auburn, AL · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#6 matchup
OV Win44%31
Spread:LOU -2vs.LOU -3
SMU at Louisville · Louisville, KY · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#7 matchup
Spread:SC -6.5vs.SC -3
Mississippi State at South Carolina · Columbia, SC · Williams-Brice Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#8 matchup
OV Win89%50
Spread:ALA -15.5vs.ALA -18.5
1 Factor
Florida State at Alabama · Tuscaloosa, AL · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#9 matchup
OV Win12%38
OV Win88%52
Spread:UCLA -15vs.UCLA -13.5
Purdue at UCLA · Pasadena, CA · Rose Bowl
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#10 matchup
Spread:CLEM -9vs.CLEM -3
North Carolina at Clemson · Clemson, SC · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#11 matchup
Spread:OU -25vs.OU -21.5
New Mexico at Oklahoma · Norman, OK · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#12 matchup
OV Win43%17
Spread:ASU -2.5vs.ASU -5
Neutral site · London · Wembley Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#13 matchup
Spread:TXST -8.5vs.TXST -3
North Texas at Texas State · San Marcos, TX · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#14 matchup
Spread:UVA -4.5vs.UVA -10.5
Neutral site · Charlotte, NC · Bank of America Stadium — Duke’s Mayo Classic
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#15 matchup
OV Win94%45
Spread:UGA -20.5vs.UGA -25
Georgia at Arkansas · Fayetteville, AR · Razorback Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#16 matchup
OV Win99%30
Spread:TEX -29vs.TEX -30
UTSA at Texas · Austin, TX · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#17 matchup
Spread:ND -28vs.ND -29
Michigan State at Notre Dame · Notre Dame, IN · Notre Dame Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#18 matchup
Spread:VAN -5.5vs.VAN -3
NC State at Vanderbilt · Nashville, TN · FirstBank Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#19 matchup
Spread:NU -7.5vs.NU -3.5
1 Factor
Colorado at Northwestern · Evanston, IL · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
Final · Sep 17Suggested side did not cover#20 matchup
Spread:PITT -10vs.PITT -10.5
Syracuse at Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh, PA · Acrisure Stadium
Final · Sep 19#21 matchup
Spread:VT -2.5vs.VT -2.5
Virginia Tech at Maryland · College Park, MD · SECU Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#22 matchup
OV Win92%36
Spread:BAY -18vs.BAY -20
Louisiana Tech at Baylor · Waco, TX · McLane Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#23 matchup
OV Win94%33
Spread:UTAH -20vs.UTAH -26.5
Utah State at Utah · Salt Lake City, UT · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#24 matchup
OV Win93%42
Spread:USC -19vs.USC -21
USC at Rutgers · Piscataway, NJ · SHI Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#25 matchup
North DakotaFCS
OV Win8%7
Spread:NEB -23vs.NEB -27.5
North Dakota at Nebraska · Lincoln, NE · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#26 matchup
Spread:SDSU -6.5vs.SDSU -2.5
James Madison at San Diego State · San Diego, CA · Snapdragon Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#27 matchup
MontanaFCS
OV Win39%17
Spread:ORST -11.5vs.ORST -17.5
Montana at Oregon State · Corvallis, OR · Reser Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#28 matchup
Spread:KSU -19vs.KSU -20.5
Tulane at Kansas State · Manhattan, KS · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Final · Sep 19#29 matchup
OV Win83%35
Spread:DUKE -12vs.DUKE -10
1 Factor
Stanford at Duke · Durham, NC · Wallace Wade Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#30 matchup
OV Win92%41
Spread:BYU -18.5vs.BYU -17.5
BYU at Colorado State · Fort Collins, CO · Canvas Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#31 matchup
Spread:JXST -2vs.JXST -3.5
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State · Jacksonville, AL · AmFirst Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#32 matchup
OV Win39%36
Spread:USA -3.5vs.USA -7
Ohio at South Alabama · Mobile, AL · Hancock Whitney Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#33 matchup
Southern IllinoisFCS
OV Win5%10
Spread:ILL -25.5vs.ILL -35
Southern Illinois at Illinois · Champaign, IL · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Final · Sep 19#34 matchup
OV Win65%49
Spread:TOL -5vs.TOL -5
Temple at Toledo · Toledo, OH · Glass Bowl
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#35 matchup
OV Win3%17
Spread:MIZ -24vs.MIZ -27
Troy at Missouri · Columbia, MO · Memorial Stadium
Final · Sep 19#36 matchup
Spread:CIN -14.5vs.CIN -14.5
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati · Cincinnati, OH · TQL Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#37 matchup
OV Win97%44
Spread:UCF -23.5vs.UCF -17.5
Georgia State at UCF · Orlando, FL · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side pushed#38 matchup
OV Win25%14
Spread:UL -8.5vs.UL -7
UAB at Louisiana · Lafayette, LA · Cajun Field
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#39 matchup
OV Win95%31
Spread:TCU -21vs.TCU -19
Arkansas State at TCU · Fort Worth, TX · Amon G. Carter Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#40 matchup
Spread:FRES -10vs.FRES -4
Fresno State at San José State · San Jose, CA · CEFCU Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#41 matchup
Spread:DEL -5vs.DEL -4.5
Coastal Carolina at Delaware · Newark, DE · Delaware Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#42 matchup
Spread:FAU -8vs.FAU -4.5
Florida International at Florida Atlantic · Boca Raton, FL · FAU Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#43 matchup
South DakotaFCS
OV Win3%24
Spread:BOIS -28.5vs.BOIS -28
South Dakota at Boise State · Boise, ID · Albertsons Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#44 matchup
MercerFCS
OV Win6%11
Spread:GT -24.5vs.GT -38.5
Mercer at Georgia Tech · Atlanta, GA · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#45 matchup
OV Win>99.9%42
Spread:TENN -33.5vs.TENN -35.5
Kennesaw State at Tennessee · Knoxville, TN · Neyland Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#46 matchup
OV Win33%21
Spread:WMU -5.5vs.WMU -8.5
Western Michigan at Rice · Houston, TX · Rice Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#47 matchup
OV Win>99.9%38
Spread:IU -43vs.IU -44.5
Western Kentucky at Indiana · Bloomington, IN · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#48 matchup
OV Win<0.01%13
OV Win>99.9%55
Spread:PSU -37vs.PSU -39.5
Buffalo at Penn State · University Park, PA · Beaver Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#49 matchup
Spread:PKvs.WYO -2
Wyoming at Central Michigan · Mount Pleasant, MI · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Final · Sep 19#50 matchup
Spread:ODU -2.5vs.ODU -2.5
East Carolina at Old Dominion · Norfolk, VA · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Final · Sep 19#51 matchup
Spread:WIS -23.5vs.WIS -23.5
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin · Madison, WI · Camp Randall Stadium
Final · Sep 19#52 matchup
OV Win61%48
Spread:CONN -3.5vs.CONN -3.5
UConn at Southern Miss · Hattiesburg, MS · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#53 matchup
Spread:MRSH -7vs.MRSH -4
Marshall at Missouri State · Springfield, MO · Plaster Sports Complex
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#54 matchup
Spread:ISU -22vs.ISU -23.5
Bowling Green at Iowa State · Ames, IA · Jack Trice Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#55 matchup
OV Win63%20
Spread:NEV -4.5vs.NEV -3.5
Nevada at Middle Tennessee · Murfreesboro, TN · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#56 matchup
Spread:LIB -16vs.LIB -14.5
Ball State at Liberty · Lynchburg, VA · Williams Stadium (VA)
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#57 matchup
Spread:APP -15vs.APP -16
Charlotte at App State · Boone, NC · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#58 matchup
Spread:ARIZ -30vs.ARIZ -34.5
Northern Illinois at Arizona · Tucson, AZ · Arizona Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#59 matchup
OV Win>99.9%59
Spread:OSU -53.5vs.OSU -52.5
Kent State at Ohio State · Columbus, OH · Ohio Stadium
Final · Sep 19#60 matchup
Eastern WashingtonFCS
OV Win<0.01%16
OV Win>99.9%48
Spread:WASH -43vs.WASH -43
Eastern Washington at Washington · Seattle, WA · Husky Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#61 matchup
SE LouisianaFCS
OV Win70%38
Spread:ULM -3.5vs.ULM -10
1 Factor
SE Louisiana at UL Monroe · Monroe, LA · Malone Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#62 matchup
Spread:MINN -27.5vs.MINN -22.5
Akron at Minnesota · Minneapolis, MN · Huntington Bank Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#63 matchup
Northern IowaFCS
OV Win<0.01%0
OV Win>99.9%55
Spread:IOWA -39.5vs.IOWA -37.5
Northern Iowa at Iowa · Iowa City, IA · Kinnick Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#64 matchup
OV Win<0.01%17
OV Win>99.9%52
Spread:MICH -36.5vs.MICH -34.5
UTEP at Michigan · Ann Arbor, MI · Michigan Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#65 matchup
NichollsFCS
OV Win37%0
Spread:SHSU -12vs.SHSU -21
1 Factor
Nicholls at Sam Houston · Huntsville, TX · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#66 matchup
UT MartinFCS
OV Win2%21
Spread:MEM -29.5vs.MEM -33.5
UT Martin at Memphis · Memphis, TN · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#67 matchup
MaineFCS
OV Win3%16
Spread:BC -28.5vs.BC -37.5
1 Factor
Maine at Boston College · Chestnut Hill, MA · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#68 matchup
DuquesneFCS
OV Win1%7
Spread:WSU -31vs.WSU -38.5
1 Factor
Duquesne at Washington State · Pullman, WA · Gesa Field
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#69 matchup
Delaware StateFCS
OV Win1%17
Spread:USF -31.5vs.USF -36.5
Delaware State at South Florida · Tampa, FL · Raymond James Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#70 matchup
East Texas A&MFCS
OV Win3%0
OV Win97%42
Spread:TLSA -28vs.TLSA -41
East Texas A&M at Tulsa · Tulsa, OK · Chapman Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side did not cover#71 matchup
Murray StateFCS
OV Win<0.01%0
Spread:OKST -38.5vs.OKST -55.5
1 Factor
Murray State at Oklahoma State · Stillwater, OK · Boone Pickens Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#72 matchup
Spread:NDSU -15vs.NDSU -25
North Dakota State at Sacramento State · Sacramento, CA · Hornet Stadium
Final · Sep 18Suggested side did not cover#73 matchup
Portland StateFCS
OV Win<0.01%0
OV Win>99.9%84
Spread:ORE -59vs.ORE -58.5
1 Factor
Portland State at Oregon · Eugene, OR · Autzen Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#74 matchup
StonehillFCS
OV Win18%14
Spread:MASS -18.5vs.MASS -31
Stonehill at Massachusetts · Hadley, MA · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Final · Sep 19Suggested side covered#75 matchup
WagnerFCS
OV Win<0.01%7
OV Win>99.9%49
Spread:CAL -40vs.CAL -58.5
Wagner at California · Berkeley, CA · California Memorial Stadium

OnVarsity Lines are matchup-specific model estimates that exclude the focal market line. How they're calculated →