Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Old Dominion enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyEast Carolina at Old Dominion
Week 3 · Sep 19S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA
Matchup View
Opening Line
Old Dominion -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Old Dominion -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusOld Dominion -32-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Old Dominion -32-book consensus · updated Sep 16Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Old DominionExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Old Dominion enters after losing its previous lined game by 23 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Old Dominion is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Old Dominion ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Old Dominion lost the most recent meeting with East Carolina.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
East Carolina enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
East Carolina was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
East Carolina enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
East Carolina enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
East Carolina ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDefense travels Contradictory evidence
East Carolina is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.
Studied in 879 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineOld Dominion -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Old Dominion -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOld Dominion -3Based on 2 books
Old Dominion -3Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
East Carolina 41.5%Old Dominion 58.5%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Old Dominion -3
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