Portland State at Oregon — Week 3

Week 3 · Sep 18Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR

Portland StateFCS

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.

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Opening Line

Oregon -59Before any Factor adjustments

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Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus

Oregon -58.59-book consensus · observed Sep 18, 10:15 PM EDT

Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineOregon -59Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Portland StateOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineOregon -57.5Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward OregonExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineOregon -59Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward Portland StateOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Oregon -57.5Opening Market ConsensusOregon -57.5Unexplained at open< 0.5 pts toward OregonSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Oregon -57.5Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusOregon -58.5Unexplained gap~1 pt toward OregonExplore similar gaps Portland State has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Portland State

Portland State has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward Portland State

Portland State has 6.6 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward Portland State; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

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Completed gameWhat happened?Portland State 0 · Oregon 84

Pregame OV Line: Oregon -59
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus: Oregon -58.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line: Oregon -57.5
Actual margin: Oregon by 84

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability

Portland State <0.01%Oregon >99.9%

Portland State has extra rest

Portland State has extra rest

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