Portland State at Oregon

Week 3 · Sep 18Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR
Portland StateFCS
@
Oregon1–1+27.7 vs. avg · #4

Matchup View

Opening LineOregon -59Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
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Current Market ConsensusOregon -57.51-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineOregon -59Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Portland StateOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineOregon -57.5Unexplained GapNone at displayed precisionOnVarsity Opening LineOregon -59Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward Portland StateOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Oregon -57.5Opening Market ConsensusOregon -57.5Unexplained at open< 0.5 pts toward OregonSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Oregon -57.5Current Market ConsensusOregon -57.5Unexplained gapNone at displayed precisionPortland State has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Portland State

Portland State has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward Portland State

Portland State has 6.6 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward Portland State; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

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Current Win Probability
Portland State <0.01%Oregon >99.9%

Compare Teams

Portland StateVSOregon

Model View

Overall Rating—+27.7 · #4
Offense Rating—+14.6
Defense Rating—+13.1

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.30
Offense Success Rate—47.4%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.04
Defense Success Rate Allowed—36.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—10.3
Playoff Odds—49.1%
Strength of Schedule Rank—13th