SE Louisiana at UL Monroe

Week 3 · Sep 19Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineUL Monroe -3.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Final Recorded Market LineUL Monroe -102-book consensus · CFBD fallback
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUL Monroe -3.5Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward SE LouisianaOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUL Monroe -2Unexplained Gap~8 pts toward UL MonroeExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineUL Monroe -3.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward SE LouisianaOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)UL Monroe -2Opening Market ConsensusUL Monroe -10.5Unexplained at open~8.5 pts toward UL MonroeSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)UL Monroe -2Final Recorded Market LineUL Monroe -10Unexplained gap~8 pts toward UL MonroeExplore similar gaps SE Louisiana has extra rest~1.5 pts toward SE Louisiana

SE Louisiana has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward SE Louisiana

SE Louisiana has 6.9 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward SE Louisiana; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

See the full study
Completed gameWhat happened?SE Louisiana 38 · UL Monroe 35
Pregame OV Line
UL Monroe -3.5
Final Recorded Market Line
UL Monroe -10
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
UL Monroe -2
Actual margin
SE Louisiana by 3

Final recorded CFBD line; observation time unavailable. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
SE Louisiana 69.6%UL Monroe 30.4%

Compare Teams

SE LouisianaVSUL Monroe

Model View

Overall Rating—-22.8 · #135
Offense Rating—-12.0
Defense Rating—-10.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.08
Offense Success Rate—37.0%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed—40.7%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—3.6
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—107th