SE Louisiana at UL Monroe

Week 3 · Sep 19Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA

Matchup View

Opening LineUL Monroe -3.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
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Current Market ConsensusUL Monroe -10.51-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUL Monroe -3.5Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward SE LouisianaOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUL Monroe -2Unexplained Gap~8.5 pts toward UL MonroeExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineUL Monroe -3.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward SE LouisianaOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)UL Monroe -2Opening Market ConsensusUL Monroe -10.5Unexplained at open~8.5 pts toward UL MonroeSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)UL Monroe -2Current Market ConsensusUL Monroe -10.5Unexplained gap~8.5 pts toward UL MonroeExplore similar gaps SE Louisiana has extra rest~1.5 pts toward SE Louisiana

SE Louisiana has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward SE Louisiana

SE Louisiana has 6.9 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward SE Louisiana; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

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Current Win Probability
SE Louisiana 69.6%UL Monroe 30.4%

Compare Teams

SE LouisianaVSUL Monroe

Model View

Overall Rating-20.1 · #133
Offense Rating-10.7
Defense Rating-9.4

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.08
Offense Success Rate37.0%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed40.7%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total3.6
Playoff Odds<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank107th