South Dakota at Boise State

Week 3 · Sep 19Albertsons Stadium · Boise, ID

Matchup View

Opening LineBoise State -28.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusBoise State -23.51-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~5 pts toward South DakotaExplore similar gaps
Current Win Probability
South Dakota 2.6%Boise State 97.4%

Compare Teams

South DakotaVSBoise State

Model View

Overall Rating+8.3 · #36
Offense Rating+4.0
Defense Rating+4.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.17
Offense Success Rate40.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.10
Defense Success Rate Allowed35.3%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.2
Playoff Odds40.7%
Strength of Schedule Rank73rd