Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCoastal Carolina at Delaware
Week 3 · Sep 19Delaware Stadium · Newark, DE
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Delaware -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Delaware -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusDelaware -4.58-book consensus · observed Sep 19, 11:15 AM EDT
Delaware -4.58-book consensus · observed Sep 19, 11:15 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Coastal CarolinaExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Favorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Delaware faces materially stronger Virginia in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Coastal Carolina enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Coastal Carolina enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Coastal Carolina 14 · Delaware 22
- Pregame OV Line
- Delaware -5
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Delaware -4.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Delaware by 8
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineDelaware -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Delaware -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusDelaware -5Earliest observed 9-book consensus
Delaware -5Earliest observed 9-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Coastal Carolina 35.0%Delaware 65.0%
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Market consensus · Delaware -4.5
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