Duquesne at Washington State

Week 3 · Sep 19Gesa Field · Pullman, WA
DuquesneFCS
@
Washington State1–8-5.7 vs. avg · #87

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineWashington State -31Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusWashington State -38.57-book consensus · observed Sep 19, 3:15 PM EDT
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineWashington State -31Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward DuquesneOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineWashington State -29.5Unexplained Gap~9 pts toward Washington StateExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineWashington State -31Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward DuquesneOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Washington State -29.5Opening Market ConsensusWashington State -38.5Unexplained at open~9 pts toward Washington StateSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Washington State -29.5Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusWashington State -38.5Unexplained gap~9 pts toward Washington StateExplore similar gaps Duquesne has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Duquesne

Duquesne has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward Duquesne

Duquesne has 6.9 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward Duquesne; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

See the full study
Completed gameWhat happened?Duquesne 7 · Washington State 48
Pregame OV Line
Washington State -31
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Washington State -38.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
Washington State -29.5
Actual margin
Washington State by 41

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Duquesne 1.5%Washington State 98.5%

Compare Teams

DuquesneVSWashington State

Model View

Overall Rating—-5.7 · #87
Offense Rating—-2.5
Defense Rating—-3.1

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.13
Offense Success Rate—41.6%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.09
Defense Success Rate Allowed—41.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—5.2
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—60th