Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyGeorgia Southern at Jacksonville State
Week 3 · Sep 19AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL
Matchup View
Opening Line
Jacksonville State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusJacksonville State -32-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Jacksonville State -32-book consensus · updated Sep 16Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Jacksonville StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Must-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Jacksonville State lost the most recent meeting with Georgia Southern.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Georgia Southern enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Georgia Southern enters after losing its previous lined game by 15 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Georgia Southern faces materially stronger Houston in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineJacksonville State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusJacksonville State -3Based on 2 books
Jacksonville State -3Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Georgia Southern 44.1%Jacksonville State 55.9%
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Market consensus · Jacksonville State -3
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