Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Baylor enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLouisiana Tech at Baylor
Week 3 · Sep 19McLane Stadium · Waco, TX
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Baylor -18Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Baylor -18Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusBaylor -2010-book consensus · observed Sep 19, 3:45 PM EDT
Baylor -2010-book consensus · observed Sep 19, 3:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward BaylorExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Baylor enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Baylor is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
Baylor is favored by 19.8 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Baylor faces materially stronger Colorado in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Baylor is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Colorado.
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Louisiana Tech enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Louisiana Tech enters after losing its previous lined game by 31 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTake the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Louisiana Tech is a 19.8-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Louisiana Tech 19 · Baylor 36
- Pregame OV Line
- Baylor -18
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Baylor -20
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Baylor by 17
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineBaylor -18Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Baylor -18Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusBaylor -19.5Earliest observed 9-book consensus
Baylor -19.5Earliest observed 9-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Louisiana Tech 7.7%Baylor 92.3%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Baylor -20
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