Maine at Boston College

Week 3 · Sep 19Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineBoston College -28.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusBoston College -37.57-book consensus · observed Sep 19, 1:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineBoston College -28.5Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward MaineOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineBoston College -27Unexplained Gap~10.5 pts toward Boston CollegeExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineBoston College -28.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward MaineOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Boston College -27Opening Market ConsensusBoston College -38.5Unexplained at open~11.5 pts toward Boston CollegeSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Boston College -27Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusBoston College -37.5Unexplained gap~10.5 pts toward Boston CollegeExplore similar gaps Maine has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Maine

Maine has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward Maine

Maine has 6.2 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.6 points toward Maine; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

See the full study
Completed gameWhat happened?Maine 16 · Boston College 22
Pregame OV Line
Boston College -28.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Boston College -37.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
Boston College -27
Actual margin
Boston College by 6

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Maine 2.8%Boston College 97.2%

Compare Teams

MaineVSBoston College

Model View

Overall Rating—-2.2 · #76
Offense Rating—-0.3
Defense Rating—-1.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.16
Offense Success Rate—43.0%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.23
Defense Success Rate Allowed—42.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—3.2
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—33rd