Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Central Michigan enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWyoming at Central Michigan
Week 3 · Sep 19Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant, MI
Matchup View
Opening Line
Central Michigan 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Central Michigan 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusCentral Michigan -1.52-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Central Michigan -1.52-book consensus · updated Sep 16Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward Central MichiganExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Central Michigan enters after losing its previous lined game by 31 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Central Michigan is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Central Michigan faces materially stronger Miami in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Wyoming enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Wyoming enters after losing its previous lined game by 22 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDefense travels Contradictory evidence
Wyoming is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.
Studied in 879 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineCentral Michigan 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Central Michigan 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusCentral Michigan -2Based on 2 books
Central Michigan -2Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Wyoming 49.4%Central Michigan 50.6%
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Market consensus · Central Michigan -1.5
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