Wagner at California
Week 3 · Sep 19California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
California -40Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
California -40Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusCalifornia -58.56-book consensus · observed Sep 19, 3:15 PM EDT
California -58.56-book consensus · observed Sep 19, 3:15 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~18.5 pts toward CaliforniaExplore similar gapsCompleted gameWhat happened?Wagner 7 · California 49
- Pregame OV Line
- California -40
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- California -58.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- California by 42
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineCalifornia -40Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
California -40Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusCalifornia -582-book consensus · CFBD fallback
California -582-book consensus · CFBD fallbackWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Wagner 0.1%California 99.9%