Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Louisiana enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyUAB at Louisiana
Week 3 · Sep 19Cajun Field · Lafayette, LA
Matchup View
Opening Line
Louisiana -8.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Louisiana -8.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusLouisiana -82-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Louisiana -82-book consensus · updated Sep 16Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward UABExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Louisiana enters after losing its previous lined game by 19 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Louisiana is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
UAB enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
UAB lost the most recent meeting with Louisiana.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
UAB lost the most recent meeting with Louisiana by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineLouisiana -8.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Louisiana -8.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusLouisiana -9Based on 2 books
Louisiana -9Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
UAB 25.4%Louisiana 74.6%
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Market consensus · Louisiana -8
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