Nicholls at Sam Houston

Week 3 · Sep 19Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · Huntsville, TX
NichollsFCS
@
Sam Houston0–2-21.5 vs. avg · #135

Matchup View

Opening LineSam Houston -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusSam Houston -17.51-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineSam Houston -12Factor Adjustments~2 pts toward NichollsOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineSam Houston -10Unexplained Gap~7.5 pts toward Sam HoustonExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineSam Houston -12Factor adjustment (Open)~2 pts toward NichollsOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Sam Houston -10Opening Market ConsensusSam Houston -17.5Unexplained at open~7.5 pts toward Sam HoustonSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Sam Houston -10Current Market ConsensusSam Houston -17.5Unexplained gap~7.5 pts toward Sam HoustonExplore similar gaps Nicholls has extra rest~2 pts toward Nicholls

Nicholls has extra rest

~2 pts toward Nicholls

Nicholls has 7.0 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Nicholls; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

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Current Win Probability
Nicholls 37.4%Sam Houston 62.6%

Compare Teams

NichollsVSSam Houston

Model View

Overall Rating—-21.5 · #135
Offense Rating—-11.4
Defense Rating—-10.1

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.00
Offense Success Rate—36.3%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.24
Defense Success Rate Allowed—47.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—3.1
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—111th