Matchup View
Duke -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Duke -102-book consensus · updated Sep 16Stanford has 7.0 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Stanford; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyThese conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Duke was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDuke enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDuke ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStanford enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStanford enters after losing its previous lined game by 39 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDuke -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Duke -10Based on 2 booksStanford has 7.0 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Stanford; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
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Open until scheduled kickoffStraight-up winner
Market consensus · Duke -10
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Sep 19.
