Murray State at Oklahoma State

Week 3 · Sep 19Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK
Murray StateFCS
@
Oklahoma State1–1+4.8 vs. avg · #49

Matchup View

Opening LineOklahoma State -38.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusOklahoma State -56.51-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineOklahoma State -38.5Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Murray StateOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineOklahoma State -37Unexplained Gap~19.5 pts toward Oklahoma StateExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineOklahoma State -38.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward Murray StateOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Oklahoma State -37Opening Market ConsensusOklahoma State -56.5Unexplained at open~19.5 pts toward Oklahoma StateSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Oklahoma State -37Current Market ConsensusOklahoma State -56.5Unexplained gap~19.5 pts toward Oklahoma StateExplore similar gaps Murray State has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Murray State

Murray State has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward Murray State

Murray State has 6.7 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward Murray State; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

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Current Win Probability
Murray State 0.2%Oklahoma State 99.8%

Compare Teams

Murray StateVSOklahoma State

Model View

Overall Rating—+4.8 · #49
Offense Rating—+0.5
Defense Rating—+4.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—-0.01
Offense Success Rate—34.2%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.26
Defense Success Rate Allowed—44.2%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—6.2
Playoff Odds—0.6%
Strength of Schedule Rank—32nd