Northern Iowa at Iowa

Week 3 · Sep 19Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City, IA

Matchup View

Opening LineIowa -39.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusIowa -40.51-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward IowaExplore similar gaps
Current Win Probability
Northern Iowa 0.1%Iowa 99.9%

Compare Teams

Northern IowaVSIowa

Model View

Overall Rating+12.8 · #23
Offense Rating+4.5
Defense Rating+8.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.15
Offense Success Rate44.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.05
Defense Success Rate Allowed38.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.8
Playoff Odds9.6%
Strength of Schedule Rank37th