2026 Season · Week 7

Week 7 OnVarsity

Open any matchup to compare the independent OnVarsity Line with the market, inspect possible Explanatory Factors, and make your own pick.

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Week 7

Oct 13–Oct 17 · 62 games
← Week 6Week 8 →
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#1 matchup
#1Ohio State(6–2)
OV Win55%19
#6Indiana(8–1)
OV Win45%15
Spread:OSU -1.5vs.OSU -3
Ohio State at Indiana · Bloomington, IN · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Final · Oct 17#2 matchup
#7Alabama(6–2)
OV Win72%10
#13Tennessee(6–2)
OV Win28%26
Spread:ALA -7.5vs.ALA -7.5
Alabama at Tennessee · Knoxville, TN · Neyland Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#3 matchup
#15Missouri(6–2)
OV Win43%3
#9Ole Miss(6–2)
OV Win57%31
Spread:MISS -2.5vs.MISS -5
Missouri at Ole Miss · Oxford, MS · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#4 matchup
#18Florida(5–3)
OV Win20%27
#5Texas(6–2)
OV Win80%24
Spread:TEX -11vs.TEX -11.5
Florida at Texas · Austin, TX · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#5 matchup
#20Nebraska(5–3)
OV Win22%14
#10Oregon(5–3)
OV Win78%17
Spread:ORE -10vs.ORE -7
Nebraska at Oregon · Eugene, OR · Autzen Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#6 matchup
#2Notre Dame(7–1)
OV Win83%24
#23BYU(7–1)
OV Win17%28
Spread:ND -12.5vs.ND -10.5
Notre Dame at BYU · Provo, UT · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#7 matchup
#28Penn State(4–4)
OV Win46%18
#26Michigan(5–3)
OV Win54%21
Spread:MICH -1.5vs.MICH -6.5
1 Factor
Penn State at Michigan · Ann Arbor, MI · Michigan Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#8 matchup
#31Kentucky(7–1)
OV Win28%21
#25Oklahoma(4–4)
OV Win72%13
Spread:OU -7.5vs.OU -6.5
Kentucky at Oklahoma · Norman, OK · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#9 matchup
#33Wisconsin(5–3)
OV Win31%7
#24UCLA(8–0)
OV Win69%17
Spread:UCLA -6.5vs.UCLA -2.5
1 Factor
Wisconsin at UCLA · Pasadena, CA · Rose Bowl
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#10 matchup
#34Oklahoma State(5–3)
OV Win38%32
#30Houston(6–2)
OV Win62%35
Spread:HOU -4vs.HOU -4.5
Oklahoma State at Houston · Houston, TX · TDECU Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#11 matchup
#35Auburn(4–4)
OV Win6%27
#3Georgia(7–1)
OV Win94%24
Spread:UGA -20vs.UGA -19.5
1 Factor
Auburn at Georgia · Athens, GA · Sanford Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#12 matchup
#40Mississippi State(4–4)
OV Win16%0
#4LSU(6–2)
OV Win84%31
Spread:LSU -13vs.LSU -17.5
1 Factor
Mississippi State at LSU · Baton Rouge, LA · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#13 matchup
#41TCU(4–4)
OV Win31%17
#38Baylor(5–3)
OV Win69%6
Spread:BAY -6.5vs.BAY -5.5
TCU at Baylor · Waco, TX · McLane Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#14 matchup
#43Florida State(3–5)
OV Win4%35
#8Miami(8–0)
OV Win96%43
Spread:MIA -22vs.MIA -20.5
1 Factor
Florida State at Miami · Miami Gardens, FL · Hard Rock Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#15 matchup
#45North Carolina(4–4)
OV Win42%24
#46Duke(6–2)
OV Win58%20
Spread:DUKE -2.5vs.DUKE -3
North Carolina at Duke · Durham, NC · Wallace Wade Stadium
Final · Oct 16Suggested side covered#16 matchup
#37Washington(5–3)
OV Win65%38
#49Purdue(3–5)
OV Win35%26
Spread:WASH -5vs.PUR -3.5
Washington at Purdue · West Lafayette, IN · Ross-Ade Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#17 matchup
#52Kansas(3–5)
OV Win38%24
#54Kansas State(4–4)
OV Win62%35
Spread:KSU -4vs.KSU -3.5
Kansas at Kansas State · Manhattan, KS · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side pushed#18 matchup
#57Virginia(4–5)
OV Win38%13
#36SMU(6–2)
OV Win62%23
Spread:SMU -4vs.SMU -10
1 Factor
Virginia at SMU · University Park, TX · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#19 matchup
#58Arizona State(4–4)
OV Win9%25
#11Texas Tech(7–1)
OV Win91%53
Spread:TTU -18vs.TTU -15.5
1 Factor
Arizona State at Texas Tech · Lubbock, TX · Jones AT&T Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#20 matchup
#53Cincinnati(5–3)
OV Win39%42
#60West Virginia(5–3)
OV Win61%45
Spread:WVU -3.5vs.WVU -1.5
1 Factor
Cincinnati at West Virginia · Morgantown, WV · Milan Puskar Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#21 matchup
#63Arkansas(3–5)
OV Win40%31
#66Vanderbilt(3–5)
OV Win60%21
Spread:VAN -3vs.VAN -6
Arkansas at Vanderbilt · Nashville, TN · FirstBank Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#22 matchup
#27Northwestern(6–2)
OV Win73%24
#67Michigan State(2–6)
OV Win27%21
Spread:NU -8vs.NU -7
Northwestern at Michigan State · East Lansing, MI · Spartan Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#23 matchup
#14Utah(8–0)
OV Win93%27
#70Colorado(3–5)
OV Win7%24
Spread:UTAH -19vs.UTAH -14.5
1 Factor
Utah at Colorado · Boulder, CO · Folsom Field
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#24 matchup
#29Louisville(5–3)
OV Win79%34
#73Syracuse(4–4)
OV Win21%26
Spread:LOU -10.5vs.LOU -15
Louisville at Syracuse · Syracuse, NY · JMA Wireless Dome
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#25 matchup
#75Georgia Tech(2–6)
OV Win21%24
#47Virginia Tech(6–2)
OV Win79%34
Spread:VT -10.5vs.VT -8.5
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech · Blacksburg, VA · Lane Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#26 matchup
#44Pittsburgh(6–3)
OV Win79%21
#76Boston College(4–4)
OV Win21%27
Spread:PITT -10.5vs.PITT -6
1 Factor
Pittsburgh at Boston College · Chestnut Hill, MA · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#27 matchup
#80Rutgers(2–6)
OV Win37%37
#74Maryland(2–6)
OV Win63%30
Spread:MD -4.5vs.MD -6
1 Factor
Rutgers at Maryland · College Park, MD · SECU Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#28 matchup
#81Navy(2–6)
OV Win27%34
#64UTSA(7–1)
OV Win73%38
Spread:UTSA -8vs.UTSA -6.5
Navy at UTSA · San Antonio, TX · Alamodome
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#29 matchup
#62Fresno State(5–3)
OV Win74%23
#86San Diego State(4–5)
OV Win26%26
Spread:FRES -8.5vs.FRES -7.5
Fresno State at San Diego State · San Diego, CA · Snapdragon Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#30 matchup
#87Washington State(1–8)
OV Win17%30
#39Oregon State(5–3)
OV Win83%48
Spread:ORST -12vs.ORST -18.5
Washington State at Oregon State · Corvallis, OR · Reser Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#31 matchup
#83UNLV(5–3)
OV Win53%31
#90Air Force(6–2)
OV Win47%41
Spread:UNLV -1vs.PK
UNLV at Air Force · Colorado Springs, CO · Falcon Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#32 matchup
#19Wake Forest(7–1)
OV Win77%41
#91California(3–6)
OV Win23%7
Spread:WAKE -9.5vs.WAKE -10
Wake Forest at California · Berkeley, CA · California Memorial Stadium
Final · Oct 16Suggested side covered#33 matchup
#65Memphis(7–2)
OV Win68%17
#93Tulane(4–4)
OV Win32%31
Spread:MEM -6vs.MEM -7
Memphis at Tulane · New Orleans, LA · Yulman Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side pushed#34 matchup
#97Nevada(3–5)
OV Win11%17
#72North Dakota State(7–2)
OV Win89%31
Spread:NDSU -15.5vs.NDSU -14
Nevada at North Dakota State · Fargo, ND · Fargodome
Final · Oct 15Suggested side did not cover#35 matchup
#99Colorado State(3–5)
OV Win20%27
#51Texas State(4–4)
OV Win80%66
Spread:TXST -11vs.TXST -14
Colorado State at Texas State · San Marcos, TX · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Final · Oct 17#36 matchup
#100Florida Atlantic(5–3)
OV Win38%24
#79Army(5–3)
OV Win62%56
Spread:ARMY -4vs.ARMY -2
1 Factor
Florida Atlantic at Army · West Point, NY · Michie Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#37 matchup
#55New Mexico(7–1)
OV Win90%21
#103Hawai'i(2–6)
OV Win10%10
Spread:UNM -16.5vs.UNM -14.5
1 Factor
New Mexico at Hawai'i · Honolulu, HI · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#38 matchup
#106Troy(4–4)
OV Win44%6
#85Louisiana(5–3)
OV Win56%33
Spread:UL -2vs.UL -3
1 Factor
Troy at Louisiana · Lafayette, LA · Cajun Field
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#39 matchup
#109Georgia State(4–4)
OV Win16%22
#68James Madison(7–2)
OV Win84%49
Spread:JMU -13vs.JMU -9.5
1 Factor
Georgia State at James Madison · Harrisonburg, VA · Bridgeforth Stadium
Final · Oct 15Suggested side covered#40 matchup
#95East Carolina(4–4)
OV Win64%17
#111UAB(4–4)
OV Win36%30
Spread:ECU -4.5vs.ECU -5
East Carolina at UAB · Birmingham, AL · Protective Stadium
Final · Oct 16Suggested side did not cover#41 matchup
#105App State(5–3)
OV Win53%35
#112Coastal Carolina(3–5)
OV Win47%32
Spread:APP -1vs.APP -1.5
App State at Coastal Carolina · Conway, SC · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Final · Oct 13Suggested side pushed#42 matchup
#116Florida International(3–5)
OV Win44%24
#101Jacksonville State(6–2)
OV Win56%27
Spread:JXST -2vs.JXST -3
Florida International at Jacksonville State · Jacksonville, AL · AmFirst Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#43 matchup
#84Tulsa(4–4)
OV Win61%38
#118Rice(1–7)
OV Win39%17
Spread:TLSA -3.5vs.TLSA -4.5
Tulsa at Rice · Houston, TX · Rice Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side pushed#44 matchup
#89Western Michigan(6–3)
OV Win67%21
#121Central Michigan(3–5)
OV Win33%14
Spread:WMU -6vs.WMU -7
Western Michigan at Central Michigan · Mount Pleasant, MI · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Final · Oct 15Suggested side did not cover#45 matchup
#94Georgia Southern(4–4)
OV Win57%23
#122Old Dominion(2–7)
OV Win43%15
Spread:GASO -2.5vs.GASO -3.5
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion · Norfolk, VA · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#46 matchup
#88Toledo(6–2)
OV Win73%34
#123Eastern Michigan(4–5)
OV Win27%14
Spread:TOL -8vs.TOL -7
Toledo at Eastern Michigan · Ypsilanti, MI · Rynearson Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#47 matchup
#113Arkansas State(4–4)
OV Win64%23
#124Southern Miss(3–5)
OV Win36%13
Spread:ARST -4.5vs.ARST -6.5
Arkansas State at Southern Miss · Hattiesburg, MS · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Final · Oct 14Suggested side covered#48 matchup
#117Kennesaw State(2–6)
OV Win48%21
#125Missouri State(3–5)
OV Win52%24
Spread:MOST -1vs.KENN -3
Kennesaw State at Missouri State · Springfield, MO · Plaster Sports Complex
Final · Oct 13Suggested side did not cover#49 matchup
#115Delaware(4–4)
OV Win56%30
#128Middle Tennessee(4–4)
OV Win44%33
Spread:DEL -2vs.DEL -1.5
Delaware at Middle Tennessee · Murfreesboro, TN · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side pushed#50 matchup
#129Massachusetts(4–4)
OV Win36%18
#120Buffalo(5–3)
OV Win64%25
Spread:BUF -5vs.BUF -7
Massachusetts at Buffalo · Amherst, NY · UB Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#51 matchup
#130Ball State(3–5)
OV Win24%32
#127Bowling Green(2–7)
OV Win76%31
Spread:BGSU -9.5vs.BGSU -6.5
Ball State at Bowling Green · Bowling Green, OH · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#52 matchup
#131Charlotte(1–7)
OV Win5%38
#104Temple(2–6)
OV Win95%31
Spread:TEM -21.5vs.TEM -19.5
Charlotte at Temple · Philadelphia, PA · Lincoln Financial Field
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#53 matchup
#132Northern Illinois(0–8)
OV Win27%23
#110Wyoming(5–3)
OV Win73%41
Spread:WYO -8vs.WYO -7.5
Northern Illinois at Wyoming · Laramie, WY · War Memorial Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#54 matchup
ElonFCS
OV Win13%7
#98Stanford(4–5)
OV Win87%34
Spread:STAN -20.5vs.STAN -35.5
Elon at Stanford · Stanford, CA · Stanford Stadium
Final · Oct 14Suggested side did not cover#55 matchup
#119Western Kentucky(3–5)
OV Win45%16
#133Sam Houston(1–7)
OV Win55%3
Spread:SHSU -1.5vs.WKU -1.5
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston · Huntsville, TX · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#56 matchup
#134Kent State(3–6)
OV Win6%2
#82South Florida(6–2)
OV Win94%29
Spread:USF -20vs.USF -20.5
Kent State at South Florida · Tampa, FL · Raymond James Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#57 matchup
#77Louisiana Tech(6–2)
OV Win83%24
#135UL Monroe(1–7)
OV Win17%0
Spread:LT -12.5vs.LT -15.5
1 Factor
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe · Monroe, LA · Malone Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#58 matchup
#136Akron(1–7)
OV Win18%14
#107Miami (OH)(5–3)
OV Win82%34
Spread:M-OH -12vs.M-OH -9.5
Akron at Miami (OH) · Oxford, OH · Yager Stadium
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#59 matchup
#114San José State(4–5)
OV Win78%24
#137UTEP(1–7)
OV Win22%11
Spread:SJSU -10vs.SJSU -7
San José State at UTEP · El Paso, TX · Sun Bowl
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#60 matchup
Charleston SouthernFCS
OV Win<0.01%0
#50Clemson(5–3)
OV Win>99.9%37
Spread:CLEM -38vs.CLEM -42.5
Charleston Southern at Clemson · Clemson, SC · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Final · Oct 17Suggested side covered#61 matchup
The CitadelFCS
OV Win<0.01%0
#22Texas A&M(4–4)
OV Win>99.9%41
Spread:TA&M -44.5vs.TA&M -45.5
1 Factor
The Citadel at Texas A&M · College Station, TX · Kyle Field
Final · Oct 17Suggested side did not cover#62 matchup
#96Ohio(6–2)
OV Win86%48
#138Sacramento State(2–7)
OV Win14%7
Spread:OHIO -14vs.OHIO -15.5
Ohio at Sacramento State · Sacramento, CA · Hornet Stadium

OnVarsity Lines are matchup-specific model estimates that exclude the focal market line. How they're calculated →