Letdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Kansas State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyKansas at Kansas State
Week 7 · Oct 16Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Matchup View
Opening Line
Kansas State -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kansas State -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusKansas State -7.51-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Kansas State -7.51-book consensus · updated Sep 16Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward KansasExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Momentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Kansas State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Kansas State begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas enters after losing its previous lined game by 17 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Kansas lost the most recent meeting with Kansas State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Kansas lost the most recent meeting with Kansas State by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Kansas is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineKansas State -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kansas State -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusKansas State -7.5Based on 1 book
Kansas State -7.5Based on 1 bookWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Kansas 20.2%Kansas State 79.8%
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Market consensus · Kansas State -7.5
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