Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyKansas at Kansas State
Week 7 · Oct 17Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Kansas State -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kansas State -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusKansas State -3.510-book consensus · observed Oct 17, 9:02 AM EDT
Kansas State -3.510-book consensus · observed Oct 17, 9:02 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward KansasExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas State enters after losing its previous lined game by 19 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas State was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Kansas State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCold against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Kansas State has failed to cover at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 939 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas enters after losing its previous lined game by 17 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Kansas lost the most recent meeting with Kansas State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Kansas lost the most recent meeting with Kansas State by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Kansas is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Kansas 24 · Kansas State 35
- Pregame OV Line
- Kansas State -4
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Kansas State -3.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Kansas State by 11
Observed 2h 57m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineKansas State -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kansas State -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusKansas State -9Earliest observed 2-book consensus
Kansas State -9Earliest observed 2-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Kansas 37.6%Kansas State 62.4%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Kansas State -3.5
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Oct 17.