Virginia at SMU

Week 7 · Oct 16Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park, TX

Matchup View

Opening LineSMU -6.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNo line availableMarket consensus unavailable
Current Win Probability
Virginia 30.4%SMU 69.6%

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Compare Teams

VirginiaVSSMU

Model View

Overall Rating+8.2 · #37+12.2 · #26
Offense Rating+2.3+5.8
Defense Rating+5.9+6.4

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.170.25
Offense Success Rate41.4%43.3%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.060.03
Defense Success Rate Allowed36.9%39.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.98.8
Playoff Odds13.6%26.6%
Strength of Schedule Rank65th63rd