2026 Season · Week 6

Week 6 OnVarsity

Open any matchup to compare the independent OnVarsity Line with the market, inspect possible Explanatory Factors, and make your own pick.

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Week 6

Oct 6–Oct 10 · 58 games
← Week 5Week 7 →
2:30 PM · Oct 10#1 matchup
#3Texas(2–0)
OV Win70%
#10Oklahoma(1–1)
OV Win30%
Spread:TEX -7vs.TEX -6
1 Factor
Neutral site · Dallas, TX · Cotton Bowl
11:00 PM · Oct 9#2 matchup
#6Georgia(2–0)
OV Win60%
#12Alabama(2–0)
OV Win40%
Spread:UGA -3vs.UGA -3
Georgia at Alabama · Tuscaloosa, AL · Bryant-Denny Stadium — NIGHT: 6 - 8pm ET start
12:00 AM · Oct 10#3 matchup
#13USC(3–0)
OV Win49%
#18Penn State(2–0)
OV Win51%
Spread:PKvs.PSU -1.5
USC at Penn State · University Park, PA · Beaver Stadium
6:00 PM · Oct 9#4 matchup
#23Iowa(2–0)
OV Win27%
#14Washington(2–0)
OV Win73%
Spread:WASH -8vs.—
Iowa at Washington · Seattle, WA · Husky Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#5 matchup
#11Texas A&M(2–0)
OV Win65%
#24Missouri(2–0)
OV Win35%
Spread:TA&M -5vs.—
Texas A&M at Missouri · Columbia, MO · Memorial Stadium — EARLY: Noon - 1pm ET start
12:00 AM · Oct 10#6 matchup
#25South Carolina(2–0)
OV Win28%
#16Florida(2–0)
OV Win72%
Spread:FLA -7.5vs.—
South Carolina at Florida · Gainesville, FL · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium — EARLY: Noon - 1pm ET start
11:00 PM · Oct 9#7 matchup
#29Houston(2–0)
OV Win36%
#22Kansas State(2–0)
OV Win64%
Spread:KSU -4.5vs.—
Houston at Kansas State · Manhattan, KS · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#8 matchup
#2Indiana(2–0)
OV Win88%
#30Nebraska(2–0)
OV Win12%
Spread:IU -15vs.—
Indiana at Nebraska · Lincoln, NE · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
9:00 PM · Oct 9#9 matchup
#31UCLA(2–0)
OV Win6%
#4Oregon(1–1)
OV Win94%
Spread:ORE -19.5vs.—
UCLA at Oregon · Eugene, OR · Autzen Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#10 matchup
#15Ole Miss(2–0)
OV Win75%
#42Vanderbilt(2–0)
OV Win25%
Spread:MISS -8.5vs.—
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt · Nashville, TN · FirstBank Stadium — FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start
7:00 PM · Oct 9#11 matchup
#43Florida State(1–1)
OV Win29%
#28Louisville(1–1)
OV Win71%
Spread:LOU -7vs.—
Florida State at Louisville · Louisville, KY · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#12 matchup
#9LSU(2–0)
OV Win82%
#44Kentucky(1–1)
OV Win18%
Spread:LSU -11.5vs.—
LSU at Kentucky · Lexington, KY · Kroger Field — NIGHT: 6 - 8pm ET start
10:00 PM · Oct 9#13 matchup
#50Kansas(1–1)
OV Win17%
#21Utah(2–0)
OV Win83%
Spread:UTAH -12vs.—
Kansas at Utah · Salt Lake City, UT · Rice-Eccles Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#14 matchup
#32Arizona(1–1)
OV Win60%
#53West Virginia(2–0)
OV Win40%
Spread:ARIZ -3vs.—
Arizona at West Virginia · Morgantown, WV · Milan Puskar Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#15 matchup
#54UCF(1–1)
OV Win39%
#49Oklahoma State(1–1)
OV Win61%
Spread:OKST -3.5vs.—
UCF at Oklahoma State · Stillwater, OK · Boone Pickens Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#16 matchup
#55Maryland(2–0)
OV Win1%
#1Ohio State(1–1)
OV Win99%
Spread:OSU -28vs.—
Maryland at Ohio State · Columbus, OH · Ohio Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#17 matchup
#56Wake Forest(2–0)
OV Win40%
#51NC State(1–1)
OV Win60%
Spread:NCSU -3vs.—
Wake Forest at NC State · Raleigh, NC · Carter-Finley Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#18 matchup
#17Tennessee(2–0)
OV Win82%
#57Arkansas(1–1)
OV Win18%
Spread:TENN -11.5vs.—
Tennessee at Arkansas · Fayetteville, AR · Razorback Stadium — FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start
12:00 AM · Oct 10#19 matchup
#52Duke(2–0)
OV Win45%
#58Georgia Tech(0–2)
OV Win55%
Spread:GT -1.5vs.—
Duke at Georgia Tech · Atlanta, GA · Bobby Dodd Stadium
8:15 PM · Oct 9#20 matchup
#60Iowa State(1–1)
OV Win12%
#20BYU(2–0)
OV Win88%
Spread:BYU -15vs.—
Iowa State at BYU · Provo, UT · LaVell Edwards Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#21 matchup
#61North Carolina(2–0)
OV Win23%
#35Pittsburgh(2–0)
OV Win77%
Spread:PITT -9.5vs.—
North Carolina at Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh, PA · Acrisure Stadium
9:00 PM · Oct 9#22 matchup
#34Virginia Tech(2–0)
OV Win64%
#62California(1–1)
OV Win36%
Spread:VT -4.5vs.—
Virginia Tech at California · Berkeley, CA · California Memorial Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#23 matchup
#40Illinois(1–1)
OV Win63%
#65Michigan State(2–0)
OV Win37%
Spread:ILL -4vs.—
Illinois at Michigan State · East Lansing, MI · Spartan Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#24 matchup
#66Syracuse(1–1)
OV Win22%
#37Virginia(2–0)
OV Win78%
Spread:UVA -10vs.—
Syracuse at Virginia · Charlottesville, VA · Scott Stadium
7:30 PM · Oct 10#25 matchup
#36Boise State(1–1)
OV Win69%
#68Fresno State(1–1)
OV Win31%
Spread:BOIS -6vs.—
Boise State at Fresno State · Fresno, CA · Valley Children's Stadium
6:30 PM · Oct 8#26 matchup
#73South Florida(2–0)
OV Win34%
#64UTSA(2–0)
OV Win66%
Spread:UTSA -5.5vs.—
South Florida at UTSA · San Antonio, TX · Alamodome
12:00 AM · Oct 10#27 matchup
#46Minnesota(1–1)
OV Win65%
#74Purdue(1–1)
OV Win35%
Spread:MINN -5vs.—
Minnesota at Purdue · West Lafayette, IN · Ross-Ade Stadium
7:00 PM · Oct 9#28 matchup
#72Washington State(0–2)
OV Win48%
#80Utah State(0–2)
OV Win52%
Spread:USU -0.5vs.—
Washington State at Utah State · Logan, UT · Maverik Stadium
12:00 PM · Oct 10#29 matchup
#81Tulane(1–1)
OV Win37%
#76Army(1–1)
OV Win63%
Spread:ARMY -4.5vs.—
Tulane at Army · West Point, NY · Michie Stadium
4:00 PM · Oct 10#30 matchup
#77North Dakota State(3–0)
OV Win48%
#83UNLV(1–2)
OV Win52%
Spread:UNLV -0.5vs.—
North Dakota State at UNLV · Las Vegas, NV · Allegiant Stadium
3:00 PM · Oct 10#31 matchup
#63San Diego State(1–1)
OV Win60%
#84Oregon State(0–2)
OV Win40%
Spread:SDSU -3.5vs.—
San Diego State at Oregon State · Corvallis, OR · Reser Stadium
3:30 PM · Oct 10#32 matchup
#85Stanford(1–1)
OV Win<0.01%
#5Notre Dame(2–0)
OV Win>99.9%
Spread:ND -34.5vs.—
Stanford at Notre Dame · Notre Dame, IN · Notre Dame Stadium
3:30 PM · Oct 10#33 matchup
#92Tulsa(2–0)
OV Win24%
#70Navy(1–1)
OV Win76%
Spread:NAVY -9vs.—
Tulsa at Navy · Annapolis, MD · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#34 matchup
#78James Madison(2–0)
OV Win64%
#99Georgia Southern(1–1)
OV Win36%
Spread:JMU -4.5vs.—
James Madison at Georgia Southern · Statesboro, GA · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#35 matchup
#97Louisiana(1–1)
OV Win46%
#101Louisiana Tech(1–1)
OV Win54%
Spread:LT -1.5vs.—
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech · Ruston, LA · Joe Aillet Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#36 matchup
#86Old Dominion(1–1)
OV Win54%
#102App State(2–0)
OV Win46%
Spread:ODU -1.5vs.—
Old Dominion at App State · Boone, NC · Kidd Brewer Stadium
9:00 PM · Oct 9#37 matchup
#105Hawai'i(1–2)
OV Win6%
#41Arizona State(1–1)
OV Win94%
Spread:ASU -20vs.—
Hawai'i at Arizona State · Tempe, AZ · Mountain America Stadium
6:30 PM · Oct 8#38 matchup
#106South Alabama(1–1)
OV Win43%
#107Arkansas State(1–1)
OV Win57%
Spread:ARST -2.5vs.—
South Alabama at Arkansas State · Jonesboro, AR · Centennial Bank Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#39 matchup
#111UConn(1–1)
OV Win36%
#100Temple(1–1)
OV Win64%
Spread:TEM -4.5vs.—
UConn at Temple · Philadelphia, PA · Lincoln Financial Field
12:00 AM · Oct 10#40 matchup
#115Coastal Carolina(1–1)
OV Win30%
#98Marshall(1–1)
OV Win70%
Spread:MRSH -6.5vs.—
Coastal Carolina at Marshall · Huntington, WV · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
6:00 PM · Oct 9#41 matchup
#109Wyoming(1–1)
OV Win49%
#116San José State(2–1)
OV Win51%
Spread:SJSU -0.5vs.—
Wyoming at San José State · San Jose, CA · CEFCU Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#42 matchup
#117Central Michigan(1–1)
OV Win37%
#110Ohio(1–1)
OV Win63%
Spread:OHIO -4.5vs.—
Central Michigan at Ohio · Athens, OH · Peden Stadium
7:00 PM · Oct 7#43 matchup
#104Jacksonville State(1–2)
OV Win53%
#118Kennesaw State(1–1)
OV Win47%
Spread:JXST -1vs.—
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · Kennesaw, GA · Fifth Third Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#44 matchup
#119UAB(1–1)
OV Win10%
#71Memphis(2–1)
OV Win90%
Spread:MEM -16vs.—
UAB at Memphis · Memphis, TN · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#45 matchup
#120Rice(1–1)
OV Win19%
#89East Carolina(0–2)
OV Win81%
Spread:ECU -11vs.—
Rice at East Carolina · Greenville, NC · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
7:30 PM · Oct 7#46 matchup
#122New Mexico State(1–2)
OV Win29%
#114Florida International(1–1)
OV Win71%
Spread:FIU -7vs.—
New Mexico State at Florida International · Miami, FL · Pitbull Stadium
6:30 PM · Oct 10#47 matchup
#87Air Force(1–1)
OV Win76%
#125Northern Illinois(0–2)
OV Win24%
Spread:AF -9vs.—
Air Force at Northern Illinois · DeKalb, IL · Huskie Stadium
7:00 PM · Oct 6#48 matchup
#126Southern Miss(1–1)
OV Win18%
#96Troy(2–0)
OV Win82%
Spread:TROY -11.5vs.—
Southern Miss at Troy · Troy, AL · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
12:00 AM · Oct 10#49 matchup
#127Buffalo(1–1)
OV Win15%
#94Toledo(1–1)
OV Win85%
Spread:TOL -13vs.—
Buffalo at Toledo · Toledo, OH · Glass Bowl
6:00 PM · Oct 8#50 matchup
#128Missouri State(1–1)
OV Win25%
#113Western Kentucky(0–2)
OV Win75%
Spread:WKU -8.5vs.—
Missouri State at Western Kentucky · Bowling Green, KY · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
10:00 PM · Oct 9#51 matchup
#112Nevada(1–1)
OV Win63%
#130UTEP(1–1)
OV Win37%
Spread:NEV -4.5vs.—
Nevada at UTEP · El Paso, TX · Sun Bowl
3:30 PM · Oct 10#52 matchup
#121Eastern Michigan(1–2)
OV Win55%
#131Akron(1–1)
OV Win45%
Spread:EMU -1.5vs.—
Eastern Michigan at Akron · Akron, OH · InfoCision Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#53 matchup
#132Sacramento State(1–2)
OV Win36%
#124Bowling Green(0–2)
OV Win64%
Spread:BGSU -4.5vs.—
Sacramento State at Bowling Green · Bowling Green, OH · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#54 matchup
#134Ball State(1–1)
OV Win1%
#48Northwestern(1–0)
OV Win99%
Spread:NU -29vs.—
Ball State at Northwestern · Evanston, IL · Ryan Field
7:00 PM · Oct 8#55 matchup
#135Sam Houston(0–2)
OV Win10%
#95Liberty(1–1)
OV Win90%
Spread:LIB -16.5vs.—
Sam Houston at Liberty · Lynchburg, VA · Williams Stadium (VA)
12:00 AM · Oct 10#56 matchup
#136Kent State(1–1)
OV Win8%
#91Western Michigan(1–1)
OV Win92%
Spread:WMU -18vs.—
Kent State at Western Michigan · Kalamazoo, MI · Waldo Stadium
11:00 PM · Oct 9#57 matchup
#137Charlotte(0–2)
OV Win7%
#88North Texas(1–1)
OV Win93%
Spread:UNT -18.5vs.—
Charlotte at North Texas · Denton, TX · DATCU Stadium
12:00 AM · Oct 10#58 matchup
#103Miami (OH)(1–1)
OV Win83%
#138Massachusetts(2–0)
OV Win17%
Spread:M-OH -12.5vs.—
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts · Hadley, MA · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

OnVarsity Lines are matchup-specific model estimates that exclude the focal market line. How they're calculated →