2026 Season · Week 6

Week 6 OnVarsity

Open any matchup to compare the independent OnVarsity Line with the market, inspect possible Explanatory Factors, and make your own pick.

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Week 6

Oct 6–Oct 10 · 58 games
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Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#1 matchup
#3Georgia(7–1)
OV Win57%20
#7Alabama(6–2)
OV Win43%17
Spread:UGA -2vs.ALA -2.5
Georgia at Alabama · Tuscaloosa, AL · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#2 matchup
#16South Carolina(5–3)
OV Win19%38
#18Florida(5–3)
OV Win81%19
Spread:FLA -11.5vs.FLA -10.5
South Carolina at Florida · Gainesville, FL · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#3 matchup
#6Indiana(8–1)
OV Win78%20
#20Nebraska(5–3)
OV Win22%17
Spread:IU -10vs.IU -7.5
Indiana at Nebraska · Lincoln, NE · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#4 matchup
#22Texas A&M(4–4)
OV Win50%6
#15Missouri(6–2)
OV Win50%27
Spread:PKvs.MIZ -3.5
Texas A&M at Missouri · Columbia, MO · Memorial Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#5 matchup
#24UCLA(8–0)
OV Win15%17
#10Oregon(5–3)
OV Win85%15
Spread:ORE -13.5vs.ORE -10.5
UCLA at Oregon · Eugene, OR · Autzen Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#6 matchup
#5Texas(6–2)
OV Win79%24
#25Oklahoma(4–4)
OV Win21%27
Spread:TEX -10.5vs.TEX -7.5
1 Factor
Neutral site · Dallas, TX · Cotton Bowl
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#7 matchup
#12USC(7–2)
OV Win47%31
#28Penn State(4–4)
OV Win53%23
Spread:PSU -1vs.PSU -1.5
USC at Penn State · University Park, PA · Beaver Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#8 matchup
#4LSU(6–2)
OV Win81%34
#31Kentucky(7–1)
OV Win19%35
Spread:LSU -11.5vs.LSU -9.5
LSU at Kentucky · Lexington, KY · Kroger Field
Final · Oct 9Suggested side covered#9 matchup
#17Iowa(6–2)
OV Win43%41
#37Washington(5–3)
OV Win57%24
Spread:WASH -2vs.WASH -3
Iowa at Washington · Seattle, WA · Husky Stadium
Final · Oct 9Suggested side covered#10 matchup
#43Florida State(3–5)
OV Win34%20
#29Louisville(5–3)
OV Win66%44
Spread:LOU -5vs.LOU -3.5
Florida State at Louisville · Louisville, KY · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#11 matchup
#45North Carolina(4–4)
OV Win29%21
#44Pittsburgh(6–3)
OV Win71%17
Spread:PITT -7vs.PITT -3.5
North Carolina at Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh, PA · Acrisure Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#12 matchup
#48Minnesota(5–3)
OV Win65%13
#49Purdue(3–5)
OV Win35%41
Spread:MINN -5vs.MINN -2.5
Minnesota at Purdue · West Lafayette, IN · Ross-Ade Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#13 matchup
#52Kansas(3–5)
OV Win8%24
#14Utah(8–0)
OV Win92%41
Spread:UTAH -18vs.UTAH -15.5
1 Factor
Kansas at Utah · Salt Lake City, UT · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#14 matchup
#30Houston(6–2)
OV Win47%35
#54Kansas State(4–4)
OV Win53%16
Spread:KSU -1vs.KSU -2.5
1 Factor
Houston at Kansas State · Manhattan, KS · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#15 matchup
#56UCF(4–4)
OV Win32%28
#34Oklahoma State(5–3)
OV Win68%42
Spread:OKST -6vs.OKST -10
1 Factor
UCF at Oklahoma State · Stillwater, OK · Boone Pickens Stadium
Final · Oct 10#16 matchup
#21Arizona(6–2)
OV Win61%52
#60West Virginia(5–3)
OV Win39%31
Spread:ARIZ -3.5vs.ARIZ -3.5
Arizona at West Virginia · Morgantown, WV · Milan Puskar Stadium
Final · Oct 9#17 matchup
#61Iowa State(4–4)
OV Win18%10
#23BYU(7–1)
OV Win82%24
Spread:BYU -11.5vs.BYU -11.5
Iowa State at BYU · Provo, UT · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#18 matchup
#32Boise State(7–1)
OV Win76%38
#62Fresno State(5–3)
OV Win24%31
Spread:BOIS -9vs.BOIS -7.5
Boise State at Fresno State · Fresno, CA · Valley Children's Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#19 matchup
#13Tennessee(6–2)
OV Win83%24
#63Arkansas(3–5)
OV Win17%17
Spread:TENN -12vs.TENN -13.5
Tennessee at Arkansas · Fayetteville, AR · Razorback Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#20 matchup
#9Ole Miss(6–2)
OV Win71%52
#66Vanderbilt(3–5)
OV Win29%17
Spread:MISS -7.5vs.MISS -9.5
1 Factor
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt · Nashville, TN · FirstBank Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#21 matchup
#42Illinois(5–3)
OV Win51%38
#67Michigan State(2–6)
OV Win49%37
Spread:ILL -0.5vs.ILL -2.5
Illinois at Michigan State · East Lansing, MI · Spartan Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#22 matchup
#19Wake Forest(7–1)
OV Win54%38
#69NC State(4–4)
OV Win46%14
Spread:WAKE -1.5vs.WAKE -3.5
Wake Forest at NC State · Raleigh, NC · Carter-Finley Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#23 matchup
#73Syracuse(4–4)
OV Win19%25
#57Virginia(4–5)
OV Win81%28
Spread:UVA -11.5vs.UVA -13.5
Syracuse at Virginia · Charlottesville, VA · Scott Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#24 matchup
#74Maryland(2–6)
OV Win1%16
#1Ohio State(6–2)
OV Win99%45
Spread:OSU -32.5vs.OSU -33
Maryland at Ohio State · Columbus, OH · Ohio Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#25 matchup
#46Duke(6–2)
OV Win65%25
#75Georgia Tech(2–6)
OV Win35%28
Spread:DUKE -5vs.DUKE -4.5
Duke at Georgia Tech · Atlanta, GA · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Final · Oct 8#26 matchup
#82South Florida(6–2)
OV Win29%24
#64UTSA(7–1)
OV Win71%31
Spread:UTSA -7vs.UTSA -7
South Florida at UTSA · San Antonio, TX · Alamodome
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#27 matchup
#72North Dakota State(7–2)
OV Win55%7
#83UNLV(5–3)
OV Win45%13
Spread:NDSU -1.5vs.NDSU -2.5
North Dakota State at UNLV · Las Vegas, NV · Allegiant Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#28 matchup
#84Tulsa(4–4)
OV Win39%26
#81Navy(2–6)
OV Win61%34
Spread:NAVY -3.5vs.NAVY -3
Tulsa at Navy · Annapolis, MD · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#29 matchup
#85Louisiana(5–3)
OV Win39%31
#77Louisiana Tech(6–2)
OV Win61%32
Spread:LT -3.5vs.LT -3
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech · Ruston, LA · Joe Aillet Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#30 matchup
#86San Diego State(4–5)
OV Win26%14
#39Oregon State(5–3)
OV Win74%66
Spread:ORST -8.5vs.ORST -16.5
San Diego State at Oregon State · Corvallis, OR · Reser Stadium
Final · Oct 9Suggested side covered#31 matchup
#87Washington State(1–8)
OV Win45%16
#78Utah State(3–5)
OV Win55%17
Spread:USU -2vs.USU -4
Washington State at Utah State · Logan, UT · Maverik Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#32 matchup
#47Virginia Tech(6–2)
OV Win69%20
#91California(3–6)
OV Win31%25
Spread:VT -6.5vs.VT -10
Virginia Tech at California · Berkeley, CA · California Memorial Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#33 matchup
#93Tulane(4–4)
OV Win37%17
#79Army(5–3)
OV Win63%20
Spread:ARMY -4.5vs.ARMY -3.5
Tulane at Army · West Point, NY · Michie Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#34 matchup
#68James Madison(7–2)
OV Win76%27
#94Georgia Southern(4–4)
OV Win24%24
Spread:JMU -9vs.JMU -7.5
James Madison at Georgia Southern · Statesboro, GA · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#35 matchup
#98Stanford(4–5)
OV Win<0.01%7
#2Notre Dame(7–1)
OV Win>99.9%58
Spread:ND -38vs.ND -40
Stanford at Notre Dame · Notre Dame, IN · Notre Dame Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#36 matchup
#103Hawai'i(2–6)
OV Win8%12
#58Arizona State(4–4)
OV Win92%30
Spread:ASU -18vs.ASU -21
Hawai'i at Arizona State · Tempe, AZ · Mountain America Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#37 matchup
#92UConn(4–4)
OV Win32%34
#104Temple(2–6)
OV Win68%20
Spread:TEM -6vs.TEM -3.5
UConn at Temple · Philadelphia, PA · Lincoln Financial Field
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#38 matchup
#111UAB(4–4)
OV Win8%13
#65Memphis(7–2)
OV Win92%38
Spread:MEM -18vs.MEM -14.5
UAB at Memphis · Memphis, TN · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#39 matchup
#112Coastal Carolina(3–5)
OV Win37%27
#108Marshall(5–3)
OV Win63%21
Spread:MRSH -4vs.MRSH -4.5
Coastal Carolina at Marshall · Huntington, WV · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Final · Oct 8Suggested side covered#40 matchup
#102South Alabama(4–4)
OV Win45%56
#113Arkansas State(4–4)
OV Win55%49
Spread:ARST -1.5vs.ARST -3
South Alabama at Arkansas State · Jonesboro, AR · Centennial Bank Stadium
Final · Oct 9Suggested side did not cover#41 matchup
#110Wyoming(5–3)
OV Win33%16
#114San José State(4–5)
OV Win67%13
Spread:SJSU -6vs.SJSU -4
Wyoming at San José State · San Jose, CA · CEFCU Stadium
Final · Oct 7Suggested side covered#42 matchup
#101Jacksonville State(6–2)
OV Win52%27
#117Kennesaw State(2–6)
OV Win48%26
Spread:JXST -1vs.JXST -3
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · Kennesaw, GA · Fifth Third Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#43 matchup
#118Rice(1–7)
OV Win30%12
#95East Carolina(4–4)
OV Win70%28
Spread:ECU -7vs.ECU -10
Rice at East Carolina · Greenville, NC · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#44 matchup
#120Buffalo(5–3)
OV Win7%23
#88Toledo(6–2)
OV Win93%8
Spread:TOL -19vs.TOL -18.5
Buffalo at Toledo · Toledo, OH · Glass Bowl
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#45 matchup
#121Central Michigan(3–5)
OV Win44%14
#96Ohio(6–2)
OV Win56%31
Spread:OHIO -2vs.OHIO -2.5
Central Michigan at Ohio · Athens, OH · Peden Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#46 matchup
#122Old Dominion(2–7)
OV Win34%10
#105App State(5–3)
OV Win66%3
Spread:APP -5.5vs.APP -10
Old Dominion at App State · Boone, NC · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Final · Oct 6Suggested side covered#47 matchup
#124Southern Miss(3–5)
OV Win13%34
#106Troy(4–4)
OV Win87%55
Spread:TROY -14.5vs.TROY -10.5
Southern Miss at Troy · Troy, AL · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Final · Oct 8Suggested side covered#48 matchup
#125Missouri State(3–5)
OV Win35%13
#119Western Kentucky(3–5)
OV Win65%34
Spread:WKU -5vs.WKU -1.5
1 Factor
Missouri State at Western Kentucky · Bowling Green, KY · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Final · Oct 7Suggested side covered#49 matchup
#126New Mexico State(3–5)
OV Win32%3
#116Florida International(3–5)
OV Win68%22
Spread:FIU -6vs.FIU -6.5
1 Factor
New Mexico State at Florida International · Miami, FL · Pitbull Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#50 matchup
#107Miami (OH)(5–3)
OV Win56%20
#129Massachusetts(4–4)
OV Win44%19
Spread:M-OH -2vs.M-OH -6
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts · Hadley, MA · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#51 matchup
#130Ball State(3–5)
OV Win<0.01%14
#27Northwestern(6–2)
OV Win>99.9%45
Spread:NU -40vs.NU -35
Ball State at Northwestern · Evanston, IL · Ryan Field
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#52 matchup
#131Charlotte(1–7)
OV Win3%10
#59North Texas(6–2)
OV Win97%50
Spread:UNT -25.5vs.UNT -28
Charlotte at North Texas · Denton, TX · DATCU Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#53 matchup
#90Air Force(6–2)
OV Win83%28
#132Northern Illinois(0–8)
OV Win17%7
Spread:AF -12.5vs.AF -7
Air Force at Northern Illinois · DeKalb, IL · Huskie Stadium
Final · Oct 8#54 matchup
#133Sam Houston(1–7)
OV Win12%3
#71Liberty(7–1)
OV Win88%35
Spread:LIB -15.5vs.LIB -13.5
1 Factor
Sam Houston at Liberty · Lynchburg, VA · Williams Stadium (VA)
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#55 matchup
#134Kent State(3–6)
OV Win7%7
#89Western Michigan(6–3)
OV Win93%38
Spread:WMU -19.5vs.WMU -14
Kent State at Western Michigan · Kalamazoo, MI · Waldo Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#56 matchup
#123Eastern Michigan(4–5)
OV Win54%25
#136Akron(1–7)
OV Win46%23
Spread:EMU -1vs.EMU -5.5
Eastern Michigan at Akron · Akron, OH · InfoCision Stadium
Final · Oct 10Suggested side did not cover#57 matchup
#97Nevada(3–5)
OV Win73%30
#137UTEP(1–7)
OV Win27%13
Spread:NEV -8vs.NEV -10
Nevada at UTEP · El Paso, TX · Sun Bowl
Final · Oct 10Suggested side covered#58 matchup
#138Sacramento State(2–7)
OV Win21%10
#127Bowling Green(2–7)
OV Win79%38
Spread:BGSU -10.5vs.BGSU -8.5
Sacramento State at Bowling Green · Bowling Green, OH · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

OnVarsity Lines are matchup-specific model estimates that exclude the focal market line. How they're calculated →