Wake Forest at NC State

Week 6 · Oct 10Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineWake Forest -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusWake Forest -3.511-book consensus · observed Oct 9, 7:49 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward Wake ForestExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Wake Forest 38 · NC State 14
Pregame OV Line
Wake Forest -1.5
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Wake Forest -3.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Wake Forest by 24

Observed 16h 10m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Wake Forest 54.2%NC State 45.8%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

Your winner pick refines your personal ratings. Game location is accounted for; your spread pick records where you differ from the market.

Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Oct 10.

Compare Teams

Wake ForestVSNC State

Model View

Overall Rating+15.2 · #19+0.7 · #69
Offense Rating+5.3+2.5
Defense Rating+9.9-1.7

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.160.24
Offense Success Rate38.0%42.4%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.040.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed35.5%39.8%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total5.77.3
Playoff Odds55.5%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank71st69th