Kansas at Utah

Week 6 · Oct 10Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineUtah -18Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusUtah -15.510-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUtah -18Factor Adjustments~1 pt toward UtahOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUtah -19Unexplained Gap~3.5 pts toward KansasExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineUtah -18Factor adjustment (Open)~1 pt toward UtahOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Utah -19Opening Market ConsensusUtah -14.5Unexplained at open~4.5 pts toward KansasSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Utah -19Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusUtah -15.5Unexplained gap~3.5 pts toward KansasExplore similar gaps Utah has extra rest~1 pt toward Utah

Utah has extra rest

~1 pt toward Utah

Utah has 6.6 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.0 points toward Utah; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

See the full study
Completed gameWhat happened?Kansas 24 · Utah 41
Pregame OV Line
Utah -18
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Utah -15.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
Utah -19
Actual margin
Utah by 17

Observed 7h 43m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Kansas 8.4%Utah 91.6%

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Compare Teams

KansasVSUtah

Model View

Overall Rating+4.8 · #52+16.9 · #14
Offense Rating+4.0+10.5
Defense Rating+0.8+6.4

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.210.35
Offense Success Rate47.9%49.5%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.240.07
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.2%38.1%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total5.98.8
Playoff Odds<0.01%72.9%
Strength of Schedule Rank48th50th