Tennessee at Arkansas

Week 6 · Oct 10Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineTennessee -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusTennessee -13.511-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward TennesseeExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Tennessee 24 · Arkansas 17
Pregame OV Line
Tennessee -12
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Tennessee -13.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Tennessee by 7

Observed 3h 58m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Tennessee 82.5%Arkansas 17.5%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

TennesseeVSArkansas

Model View

Overall Rating+17.1 · #13+2.0 · #63
Offense Rating+10.4+2.6
Defense Rating+6.6-0.6

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.320.30
Offense Success Rate50.4%48.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.150.25
Defense Success Rate Allowed44.6%46.0%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.63.9
Playoff Odds26.4%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank17th1st