Sacramento State at Bowling Green

Week 6 · Oct 10Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineBowling Green -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusBowling Green -8.511-book consensus · observed Oct 9, 7:49 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward Sacramento StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Sacramento State 10 · Bowling Green 38
Pregame OV Line
Bowling Green -10.5
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Bowling Green -8.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Bowling Green by 28

Observed 16h 10m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Sacramento State 21.3%Bowling Green 78.7%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Sacramento StateVSBowling Green

Model View

Overall Rating-30.3 · #138-18.1 · #127
Offense Rating-15.2-11.9
Defense Rating-15.2-6.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.03
Offense Success Rate—35.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed—40.5%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.65.0
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank131st124th