North Carolina at Pittsburgh

Week 6 · Oct 10Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LinePittsburgh -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusPittsburgh -3.511-book consensus · observed Oct 9, 7:49 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3.5 pts toward North CarolinaExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?North Carolina 21 · Pittsburgh 17
Pregame OV Line
Pittsburgh -7
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Pittsburgh -3.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
North Carolina by 4

Observed 16h 10m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
North Carolina 28.9%Pittsburgh 71.1%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

Your winner pick refines your personal ratings. Game location is accounted for; your spread pick records where you differ from the market.

Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Oct 10.

Compare Teams

North CarolinaVSPittsburgh

Model View

Overall Rating+6.1 · #45+6.2 · #44
Offense Rating+1.3+2.0
Defense Rating+4.7+4.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.060.17
Offense Success Rate38.8%40.3%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.150.07
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.4%35.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.67.9
Playoff Odds<0.01%0.5%
Strength of Schedule Rank32nd63rd