Rice at East Carolina

Week 6 · Oct 10Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineEast Carolina -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusEast Carolina -1011-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward East CarolinaExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Rice 12 · East Carolina 28
Pregame OV Line
East Carolina -7
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
East Carolina -10
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
East Carolina by 16

Observed 0h 43m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Rice 29.8%East Carolina 70.2%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

RiceVSEast Carolina

Model View

Overall Rating-15.0 · #118-8.1 · #95
Offense Rating-7.9-5.7
Defense Rating-7.1-2.4

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.040.19
Offense Success Rate35.6%45.8%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.240.05
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.4%37.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total3.67.1
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank76th95th