Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyJacksonville State at Kennesaw State
Week 6 · Oct 7Fifth Third Stadium · Kennesaw, GA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Jacksonville State -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusJacksonville State -311-book consensus · observed Oct 7, 3:10 PM EDT
Jacksonville State -311-book consensus · observed Oct 7, 3:10 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward Jacksonville StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Must-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Kennesaw State is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Jacksonville State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Jacksonville State lost the most recent meeting with Kennesaw State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Jacksonville State 27 · Kennesaw State 26
- Pregame OV Line
- Jacksonville State -1
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Jacksonville State -3
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Jacksonville State by 1
Observed 3h 49m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineJacksonville State -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusJacksonville State -2.5Earliest observed 2-book consensus
Jacksonville State -2.5Earliest observed 2-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Jacksonville State 52.4%Kennesaw State 47.6%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Jacksonville State -3
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