South Florida at UTSA

Week 6 · Oct 8Alamodome · San Antonio, TX

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineUTSA -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusUTSA -711-book consensus · observed Oct 8, 8:05 AM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Completed gameWhat happened?South Florida 24 · UTSA 31
Pregame OV Line
UTSA -7
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
UTSA -7
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
UTSA by 7

Observed 11h 24m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
South Florida 29.4%UTSA 70.6%

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Compare Teams

South FloridaVSUTSA

Model View

Overall Rating-4.1 · #82+2.0 · #64
Offense Rating-1.4+1.9
Defense Rating-2.7+0.1

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.300.20
Offense Success Rate46.7%43.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.080.14
Defense Success Rate Allowed37.9%38.0%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.27.8
Playoff Odds0.1%26.8%
Strength of Schedule Rank112th78th