Florida State at Louisville

Week 6 · Oct 9L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineLouisville -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusLouisville -3.511-book consensus · observed Oct 8, 8:05 AM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward Florida StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Florida State 20 · Louisville 44
Pregame OV Line
Louisville -5
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Louisville -3.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Louisville by 24

Observed 34h 54m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Florida State 34.5%Louisville 65.5%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Florida StateVSLouisville

Model View

Overall Rating+6.3 · #43+13.2 · #29
Offense Rating+5.1+4.9
Defense Rating+1.3+8.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.300.15
Offense Success Rate47.2%45.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.150.06
Defense Success Rate Allowed40.5%36.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total5.98.2
Playoff Odds<0.01%5.3%
Strength of Schedule Rank39th49th