High-total favorite Inconclusive
Oregon is favored in a game with a consensus total of 60.5.
Studied in 717 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyUCLA at Oregon
Week 6 · Oct 10Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Oregon -13.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oregon -13.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusOregon -10.511-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Oregon -10.511-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward UCLAExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Oregon begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Oregon ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
UCLA enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMomentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
UCLA enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStraight-up hot streak Developing estimate
UCLA has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
UCLA has covered at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
UCLA begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
UCLA lost the most recent meeting with Oregon.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
UCLA lost the most recent meeting with Oregon by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
UCLA is the underdog in a matchup played at least 5 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?UCLA 17 · Oregon 15
- Pregame OV Line
- Oregon -13.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Oregon -10.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- UCLA by 2
Observed 3h 13m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineOregon -13.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oregon -13.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOregon -12.5Earliest observed 2-book consensus
Oregon -12.5Earliest observed 2-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
UCLA 15.2%Oregon 84.8%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Oregon -10.5
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