Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Week 6 · Oct 10FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineOle Miss -7.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusOle Miss -9.510-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineOle Miss -7.5Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Ole MissOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineOle Miss -9Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Ole MissExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineOle Miss -7.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward Ole MissOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Ole Miss -9Opening Market ConsensusOle Miss -10.5Unexplained at open~1.5 pts toward Ole MissSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Ole Miss -9Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusOle Miss -9.5Unexplained gap~0.5 pts toward Ole MissExplore similar gaps Ole Miss has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Ole Miss

Ole Miss has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward Ole Miss

Ole Miss has 6.9 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward Ole Miss; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

See the full study
Completed gameWhat happened?Ole Miss 52 · Vanderbilt 17
Pregame OV Line
Ole Miss -7.5
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Ole Miss -9.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
Ole Miss -9
Actual margin
Ole Miss by 35

Observed 3h 13m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Ole Miss 71.2%Vanderbilt 28.8%

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Compare Teams

Ole MissVSVanderbilt

Model View

Overall Rating+21.7 · #9+1.6 · #66
Offense Rating+12.4+4.9
Defense Rating+9.3-3.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.310.41
Offense Success Rate48.5%50.3%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.110.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed38.8%41.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.15.8
Playoff Odds51.6%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank11th15th