North Dakota State at UNLV

Week 6 · Oct 10Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineNorth Dakota State -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusNorth Dakota State -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward North Dakota StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?North Dakota State 7 · UNLV 13
Pregame OV Line
North Dakota State -1.5
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
North Dakota State -2.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
UNLV by 6

Observed 6h 43m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
North Dakota State 55.2%UNLV 44.8%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

North Dakota StateVSUNLV

Model View

Overall Rating+0.0 · #72-4.2 · #83
Offense Rating+0.0+0.3
Defense Rating+0.0-4.5

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.30
Offense Success Rate—46.6%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.21
Defense Success Rate Allowed—44.1%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.98.1
Playoff Odds0.1%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank132nd99th