Air Force at Northern Illinois

Week 6 · Oct 10Huskie Stadium · DeKalb, IL

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineAir Force -12.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusAir Force -711-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~5.5 pts toward Northern IllinoisExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Air Force 28 · Northern Illinois 7
Pregame OV Line
Air Force -12.5
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Air Force -7
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Air Force by 21

Observed 7h 13m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Air Force 83.1%Northern Illinois 16.9%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Air ForceVSNorthern Illinois

Model View

Overall Rating-6.1 · #90-21.3 · #132
Offense Rating+3.0-11.6
Defense Rating-9.1-9.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.290.05
Offense Success Rate47.6%34.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.400.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed49.4%44.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.43.3
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank102nd85th