Illinois at Michigan State
Week 6 · Oct 10Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Illinois -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Illinois -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusIllinois -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Illinois -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward IllinoisExplore similar gapsCompleted gameWhat happened?Illinois 38 · Michigan State 37
- Pregame OV Line
- Illinois -0.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Illinois -2.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Illinois by 1
Observed 3h 13m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineIllinois -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Illinois -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusIllinois -3.5Earliest observed 3-book consensus
Illinois -3.5Earliest observed 3-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Illinois 50.8%Michigan State 49.2%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Illinois -2.5
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