Illinois at Michigan State

Week 6 · Oct 10Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI

Matchup View

Opening LineIllinois -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNo line availableMarket consensus unavailable
Current Win Probability
Illinois 62.5%Michigan State 37.5%

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Compare Teams

IllinoisVSMichigan State

Model View

Overall Rating+7.5 · #40+0.9 · #65
Offense Rating+4.7+0.1
Defense Rating+2.9+0.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.210.13
Offense Success Rate47.5%42.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.190.20
Defense Success Rate Allowed45.0%44.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.04.0
Playoff Odds0.5%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank34th26th