Ball State at Northwestern

Week 6 · Oct 10Ryan Field · Evanston, IL

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineNorthwestern -40Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusNorthwestern -3510-book consensus · observed Oct 10, 12:16 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~5 pts toward Ball StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Ball State 14 · Northwestern 45
Pregame OV Line
Northwestern -40
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Northwestern -35
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Northwestern by 31

Observed 0h 13m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Ball State 0.1%Northwestern 99.9%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Ball StateVSNorthwestern

Model View

Overall Rating-20.5 · #130+13.8 · #27
Offense Rating-12.7+7.8
Defense Rating-7.8+5.9

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play-0.000.15
Offense Success Rate32.5%43.0%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.180.17
Defense Success Rate Allowed44.7%45.1%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total3.65.4
Playoff Odds<0.01%6.8%
Strength of Schedule Rank104th30th