Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDelaware at Middle Tennessee
Week 7 · Oct 13Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Delaware -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Delaware -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusDelaware -1.511-book consensus · observed Oct 12, 2:52 PM EDT
Delaware -1.511-book consensus · observed Oct 12, 2:52 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Middle TennesseeExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee enters after losing its previous lined game by 55 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Middle Tennessee is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Middle Tennessee lost the most recent meeting with Delaware.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after losing its previous lined game by 16 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Delaware is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Delaware 30 · Middle Tennessee 33
- Pregame OV Line
- Delaware -2
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Delaware -1.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Middle Tennessee by 3
Observed 28h 7m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineDelaware -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Delaware -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusPick'emEarliest observed 2-book consensus
Why the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Delaware 56.3%Middle Tennessee 43.7%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Delaware -1.5
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